Survivor Cambodia Week 5 Predictions and Poll

After one of us triumphantly predicted the most recent boot in Survivor Cambodia, the rest of us are playing catch-up. Can John achieve an insurmountable 2 point lead?

pr_predictionsbnr_480

Andy: Here’s a prediction: Jeff Varner will still dominate the reunion.

John: Not dominate, but let’s put it this way: No way this pre-merge group is sitting in the audience.

Andy: He gets a segment.

John: If only you could bet on that in Vegas.

Mark: If we could bet Survivor in Vegas, we’d all be living on the street.

varner-what-the-fuck-was-that

Andy: So, I’m not going to pretend like Angkor isn’t going to Tribal Council next week. But are they the only tribe going?

Matt: I say it’s a double boot. Like, first place is safe and the final two go and then we go back down to two tribes.

Mark: Bayon goes. And…Ta Keo?

Andy: Angkor?

Matt: How does Angkor not go?

John: Matt has already lost faith in troop-rallying Savage. Today is a sad day.

Matt: Savage can win a challenge by himself! But only literally by himself.

Mark: Angkor has a nice solid core now. Also I’m sick of them and am playing devil’s advocate because it’s not like trying to be smart has paid off so far.

Angkor Predictions

Andy: Alright, let’s start with the sad sacks: do we dare predict Abi again?

make-sure-you-dont-write-abi

Mark: I mean, who else?

Matt: Woo?

John: Woo.

Emma: I really do think it could be Abi. I think this is the moment.

Andy: I think her usefulness has come to an end.

Matt: Yeah, I’ll say it’s Abi, officially ending phase one of the season. Or, the Abi phase

Emma: Woo’s connections to old Ta Keo are overblown. It’s just Kelly and Terry.

Mark: If it is Angkor, it’s gotta be Abi. Tasha is already tired of her. But it’s not, so she’s safe to ruin another week.

tasha-eye-roll

John: Tasha doesn’t have the headache of having to worry about Abi-Maria vacillating this time, so she thinks “Oh, this isn’t so bad.”

Andy: My concern: Savage may have given Abi his word. And he’s cornball enough to want to stick to it.

John: Also, everyone gets a wild notion that they can be the one to tame Abi and bring her along as a goat. I’m sure it’ll happen to Tasha and Savage.

Andy: I don’t feel like Savage plays the goat game.

Emma: Yeah, he wanted to go to the end with Ryno and Osten.

Matt: Savage plays a loyalty game, not a goat game. But Tasha… Tasha plays a goat game.

Mark: She did boot J’Tia over Spencer, though.

Andy: Keeping Abi could be Savage playing the loyalty game.

Matt: Agreed, Andy.

Emma: Tasha knows Woo could be a goat though. AND loyal.

John: Either way, my pick is Woo.

Andy: My pick is Abi-Maria. I’m hoping this closes the opening chapter of this season and we can start to get new stories.

varner-abi-little-bitch

Emma: Same.

Matt: Is there any way Savage and Tasha turn on each other?

Andy: No

John: No.

Emma: No.

Mark: No.

kelley-go-the-other-way

Matt: But yeah, I’m saying Abi too

John: Another reason it’s Woo: Tasha has to be aware of the fact that four Cagayaners are left. And that gives them a target.

Matt: I don’t think Tasha is thinking about that

John: I do. She’s not dumb.

Andy: Not voting out Abi would be dumb.

John: Touché.

Emma: I don’t think Tasha is the one who gets targeted though. She probably wouldn’t mind throwing it on Kass.

Andy: Or Spencer. Tasha knows just how much work it is to try and work with Abi. No thanks.

tasha-eyerolls

Bayon Predictions

Andy: Who do we think Kimmi was yelling at in the preview?

Emma: I don’t recall, I remember her saying someone is a troublemaker.

Matt: Oh, Stephen then. Stephen is the troublemaker

I have a Bayon shocker prediction: my prediction is Spencer.

spencer-pain

Andy: How is that shocking?

Matt: I feel people are talking about his “good” edit

Andy: Like his winner’s edit in Cagayan?

Matt: Touché.

Mark: No, Spencer is going to make it. And be the real Stephen to Jeremy’s JT.

Emma: My Bayon prediction is Monica.

Mark: I’m going with Monica. Because ruining our pre-show predictions is the show’s MO. Her little plan is going to backfire.

monica-blows-kiss

Emma: That’s my theory as well. She’ll try too hard to get rid of Spencer; Jeremy and Stephen won’t be on board.

Mark: All Spencer needs is Wiggles, Jeremy, and Stephen. Kelly may be clueless but she’s not dumb.

Andy: Why vote out Monica though?

Mark: Doesn’t harm the tribe.

Emma: Not good at challenges and being too sneaky?

John: In what universe is Monica sneaky?

Andy: Sneakily wanting to vote out the biggest threat from the other side?

Emma: No, but people might think that.

Andy: I just don’t see why you vote out Monica at this point in the game. Three votes ago, maybe. Especially since she’s going to sit the challenge out.

Emma: If she goes from quiet and unassuming to suddenly pushing a vote.

John: She can try to swing a vote all she wants. She still needs people to align with her to make that happen. And I don’t see it.

Matt: I mean it really comes down to Jeremy right?

jeremy-second-place

Emma: And Jeremy wants to work with the threats. He wants his meat shields.

Matt: And Jeremy’s story is a little bit about bonding with Stephen and Spencer, but I think it’s more about using Stephen and Spencer

Mark: Exactly. Plus Jeremy has an idol.

John: I’ll say Wigles. Everyone who ever aligned with Varner goes down in flames!

Matt: I’m saying anyone who ever allied with Abi goes down in flames

John: It can be two things, Matt!

Matt: And after next week everyone who voted for Vytas except for Wentworth is gone

John: Incorrect. Wigles never voted for Vytas.

Matt: That is why it’s Spencer John!

Andy: Kimmi apparently was not on Team Savage.

Matt: Oh yeah? Kimmi on the outs early on?

Mark: Why do you think Varner told Kelly about Monica and Kimmi?

Andy: Yes. She told Varner this at the swap. Apparently.

Matt: I forget how do we know this?

Emma: Varner’s exit press

Matt: Oh right, she said Savage is a rat

Emma: She said don’t trust him.

John: I’m going to be annoyed if it’s Kimmi this week after I’ve predicted her boot multiple times.

Andy: Anyway, I think it’s Kimmi.

Matt: Haha! Andy trolling John!

kimmi

John: Fuck that. I’m not locked in. I’ll switch to Kimmi.

Andy: She has an argument at camp, gets loud, annoys everyone, gets the boot. If it’s a double-boot and they go second, she’ll even be sixth out.

Matt: I mean that is a very Kimmi way to go

Andy: It is THE Kimmi way to go. So John: , you completely agree with me and my flawless logic then?

John:

Wiglesworth.

Emma: Hahahahaha

John: No, fuck it. Kimmi.

Matt: Spencer. Come at me, internet!

Ta Keo Predictions

Andy: Alright, any reason to change our Terry pick for Ta Keo?

blindfolded-deitz

Emma: I still say Terry.

John: Still Terry.

Andy: But he was a hero this week!

Still Terry

Matt: Yeah, Terry

Mark: He’s still the leading candidate.

Andy: Also, they’re not going to Tribal Council.

Mark: Backup: Keith. He wouldn’t be able to hear them talking.

keith-cant-hear

Andy: But what about Ciera?

Emma: Who?

John: Ciera should just write (mom) after the name of everyone she votes for.

Savage (mom)

Tasha (mom)

Mom-ica.

Andy: Here’s a caution I give to everyone: let’s not read too much into edits just yet. Unless you think Abi-Maria is going to win Survivor. This season has been really heavy on the stories of four people.

Mark: I’m kind of done reading edits. It’s gotten us so far.

Emma: It’s funny how people are like, “So and so is going home because they have no screen time!” While others are like, “They must be safe, they have no screen time yet!”

John: I don’t actually think her invisibility this early means anything.

Andy: Nothing but her being on tribes with no stories.

ciera-takeo-reaction

Miscellaneous Prediction

Andy: Prediction from hell: it’s finally Abi’s time to get voted out, but instead she finds and plays the idol.

Emma: I will cry.

John: Andy, going full darkest timeline here.

Andy: You realize that not only did they get the weak players, the shitty camp, and no supplies… Angkor is also getting the shitty looking idol.

John: YES.

Emma: Abi gets it, thinks it’s fake, thinks someone specifically plants it there to trick her, murders everyone.

abi-youre-dead

Andy: If Abi got the idol, I think I’d have to join #TeamAbi just out of submission. “Fine universe! You win!”

Emma: You’re nothing if not a front runner.

John: Abi gets it, thinks it’s fake, hands it to Savage and says “What the fuck is this?! I don’t want your fake idol bullshit!” Boom, Savage has an idol.

Matt: I would soil my pants in glee

Emma: I feel like her murdering everyone is more likely but okay.

John: It can be both, Emma!

Andy: It would be so funny if Abi’s paranoia is such that she thinks someone planted fake instructions to the idol just to mess with her.

abi-thinking

Mark: Wait, but if they’re at challenges…

Matt: I was wondering where they would have hidden an idol in the blindfold challenge, I mean they are blindfolded!

Emma: Oh man, that would have been amazing.

Mark: Probably near the mat. Or on the caller box, haha.

John: Yeah, on the caller box.

Emma: Oh god, can you imagine if you found the clue and then had to sit out?

Matt: “No seriously guys, I can do this, let me do this!”

Andy: Caller box. So if you find the clue, you need to insist on being the caller.

Matt: And just hope the other callers don’t notice you.

Andy: It would be the easiest find ever, but you could suck at the challenge. Imagine Keith trying to suggest he should be the caller?

Emma: “JUST GO YONDER TO YOUR LEFT! [spits] AW SHOOT, OTHER LEFT!”

keith-spits

John: “FISH! FISH! PICK UP THAT PIECE!”

Andy: “Aw hell, I don’t know. I just wanted this idol”.

Predictions

Andy John Emma Mark Matt Jenn no fucksReaders
First
Boot
S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_kelly_tKelly S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria S31_spencer_tSpencer  S31_spencer_tSpencer Vytas
Second
Boot
S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria   Terry Abi-Maria
Peih-Gee  1024px-Red_x.svg N/A
Third
Boot
S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  Kimmi Joe
Jeremy  Monica S31_andrew_t Savage
Fourth
Boot
Tasha S31_jeff_tVarner S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria 
Angkor
Next
Boot
S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  Woo
S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  question-mark
Bayon
Next
Boot
Kimmi Kimmi Monica Monica
S31_spencer_tSpencer  question-mark
Ta Keo
Next
Boot
Terry Terry Terry Terry Terry question-mark
Score 0-red 0-red 0-red 0-red 1-green
Preseason
Winner Pick
S31_monica_tMonica  S31_jeff_tVarner S31_kelley_t Kelley S31_monica_tMonica   S31_jeff_tVarner  S31_kelley_t Kelley

Reader poll

What do you guys think? Check the appropriate button (unless you’ve been spoiled) and leave a comment at the bottom if you’re up for it.

If Angkor goes to Tribal Council, who get voted out?

  • Abi-Maria Gomes (80% Votes)
  • Woo Hwang (18% Votes)
  • Tasha Fox (2% Votes)
  • Andrew Savage (0% Votes)

Total Voters: 61

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If Bayon goes to Tribal Council, who get voted out?

  • Monica Padilla (41% Votes)
  • Kelly Wigglesworth (28% Votes)
  • Kimmi Kappenberg (23% Votes)
  • Spencer Bledsoe (7% Votes)
  • Stephen Fishbach (2% Votes)
  • Jeremy Collins (0% Votes)

Total Voters: 61

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If Ta Keo goes to Tribal Council, who get voted out?

  • Terry Deitz (85% Votes)
  • Ciera Eastin (3% Votes)
  • Joe Anglim (3% Votes)
  • Keith Nale (3% Votes)
  • Kelley Wentworth (3% Votes)
  • Kass McQuillen (2% Votes)

Total Voters: 60

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Andy
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Andy

Co-host of the Purple Rock Survivor Podcast and the Canadian of the group, Andy has been watching Survivor continuously since the very beginning and likes to treat that as some kind of virtue to lord over others.

Favourite seasons: Heroes vs Villains, Cook Islands, Palau, The Amazon, Cagayan
Favourite players: Boston Rob, Kim Spradlin, Tony Vlachos, Cirie Fields, Yul Kwon, Rob Cesternino
Andy
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  • Violina23

    I will keep voting Abi until she leaves this game. And yes, she is on my Savage-League Fantasy team (WHY OH WHY DIDN’T I PICK KASS?!?!)

  • Scarlett3639

    I’m wondering if there is any possibility of Bayon or Ta Keo panicking about a merge and throwing a challenge to get rid of a threat.

    • andythesaint

      Probably a little too soon for that. After this week, there will still be 15-14 people left. A little soon for a merge.

      Unless you’re talking about a merger of 3 to 2. Then that’s happening soon. The problem is that the former Bayon is the in the majority on both tribes, and will be even on Angkor (with that situation presumably becoming 2-1 for the former Bayon soon enough). So I don’t know where the majority would come from for a challenge throw. Unless someone pulls a Drewchebag and does it themselves.

      There’s a very real possibility that after this week, it will be 10 former Bayons to 4 former Ta Keos. It’ll be interesting to see after that who would still be threatening enough to throw a challenge for. Besides Joe.

      • Roswulf

        It seems to me that throwing challenges generally only makes sense when you are protecting one of yours in addition to axing one of theirs. The game of Survivor is unpredictable enough- especially with idols- that all other things being equal no one should want to go to tribal.

        Right now, if things stay true to form and Angkor flounders, Abi and Woo are the ones in danger. The only people who might consider sticking out their necks for those two Crazy Kids (in the young goat sense) are Terry and Kelly…and Terry and Kelly would be unlikely to throw a challenge given they are the obvious next boots from their own tribes.

        • andythesaint

          Frankly, the people who should most consider throwing the challenge are Savage and Tasha. Letting Abi meet new people would be very dangerous.

          • Scarlett3639

            Would they want to go forward with that kind of rep? Plus, is Savage really a challenge-throwing type? Tasha I can see considering it.

          • andythesaint

            No, I don’t think Savage would do it. But he’d benefit.

          • Diego Armando

            I don’t think Savage’s ego would allow him to do that.

          • Other Scott

            Why throw when you can lose fairly?

          • andythesaint

            Less effort?

        • Scarlett3639

          I agree it wouldn’t make a lot of sense to do it. I was thinking more of someone(s) overthinking because it is a returnee season and trying to play too hard. However, I think the people who would be most likely to make that risky of a move are sitting in Ponderosa. Except for Abi-Maria. I can see her getting pissed off enough at her tribemates to throw a challenge not realizing that she would most likely be the one going home, but I think that’s unlikely to happen.

      • Kemper Boyd

        Way too soon for a pre-merge boot challenge throw. Unless Kass’ love for Joe has diminished, which I doubt. I’m hoping some magical challenge that Angkor could win, like maybe the weight carrying challenge, because I think Savage could hero that out and hang around as long as Terry/Joe or Jeremy who would have it for Bayon and Ta Kao and I think the only woman who can challenge Tasha is Wigles.

  • itsafuckingSTICK

    Please oh please let Angkor’s idol be a stick with a face.

    • Diego Armando

      You should already know if you made an appearance this season

  • Diego Armando

    I agree with Monica being the target. I think Kimmi will blab to the main alliance (possibly unintentionally) that the girls are teaming up, and Jeremy will target Monica, since she is an immediate threat to his game.

  • Other Scott

    I might be biased because I’m the biggest Woo fan on this site, but man Tasha and Savage would have to be dumb to vote out Woo over Abi.

    Woo has allies on other tribes, yes, but those allies total to Terry and Kelly. And considering neither of those tribes have gone to tribal council, you’re much better off using those ties to give you another optional alliance than thinking those people are going to pull Woo away from you and to someone else. Plus, Terry, Kelly, Savage, Tasha, Woo sounds like Savage’s dream alliance and Tasha’s ticket to win the game (depending how the jury feels like voting).

    Abi would be a good goat, but you have to keep her on your side for about 10 more votes. That sounds like a very tall task. And not only that, if you lose her you don’t just lose a number, you lose a number that makes it her personal mission to destroy you. Only Woo has been able to escape that so far, and that’s because Woo is one of the most difficult players to vote out.