Survivor Millennials vs Gen X Week 10/11 Predictions and Polls

Two episodes this week, so two prediction to make. And because we’re not wimps, we’re doing them in order. Note: yes, some of the staff tried to weasel out of it.

pr_predictionsbnr_s33-2

Next Boot Predictions

Andy: First off, I want to warn against any instinct to believe that this will be a boring or predictable set of boots just because we are getting two on one day. This isn’t a double-boot episode. It is TWO full episodes, airing back-to-back. You might say “well Andy, that means they took their two most dull episodes to burn off on the same day”, to which I say “you are stupid”. Which is usually just something I imply.

They’re not airing these on the same night because the episodes are weak, necessarily. They are airing them because it is Thanksgiving. Thus, NO MATTER how the episodes turned out, these would be the ones to air back-to-back. Last year, we got Jeremy playing his idol to save Stephen and oust Ciera and Stephen’s advantage backfiring on him. Not exactly uneventful.

With that in mind, I say Adam is the first to go as no one wants him around to steal their stuff, plus, people are just down on the guy in general (a story we’ve been getting since the Figgy vote). With that, the Millennials will be sufficiently weakened, allowing the Gen Xers to start settling old scores. Sunday will jump at the chance to eliminate perceived rival Jessica, but David and Ken (mostly David) will outmaneuver her and use the Millennials to take out Chris instead. Zeke and Hannah will join with D/K/J, and Jay will join them to get rid of a much more interesting target than Jessica.

John: Jessica goes first, as Sunday is revealed to have been biding her time before throwing bodies into the wood chipper. And because Sunday is a cold-blooded killer, she also tells Jay that the plan is to split the vote on him and Will. Jay then plays his idol, which is crucial to Sunday being able to vote Jay out in the second episode. None of this will happen, I’m just really looking for an excuse to be able to talk about Sunday on the podcast and trot out my horrific Minnesota accent.

Matt: This week is a double episode because the tables turn and the Gen Xers eat their own. First to go is Sunday, whose insistence on getting Jessica out will boomerang on her like some sort of throwing stick. Other people in the alliance will push for Chris to go first, as he is a big threat, but Sunday’s obvious antagonism will win out for them. Having knocked off Sunday, the group will then turn their eyes to the big threat and will vote out Chris.

Mark: There’s no way that Adam survives Foodgate 2016 if his own allies (Zeke and Hannah) aren’t even with him. However, both he and Jay have idols, so this gets tricky. I can see Adam being overly confident now that he won and Jay’s secret is out. He doesn’t play his idol, Jay plays his, and Adam gets booted by a combo of Gen-X and Zeke because this is a game of trust. Speaking of trust, after that the majority of Gen-Xers start to crack, and it’s Chris/Bret/Sunday versus David/Ken/Jess. Of the remaining Millennials, I can see the latter group pulling more people in, so Sunday falls victim to her own uprising and goes home.

Emma: Sunday goes back to Jay to reaffirm her plan to get out Jessica and he realizes that assuming a) Will is still with him and b) Chris is on board, that there is a pivotal swing vote in their midst: Adam. So Jay sweet talks Adam who thinks working with Jay will finally be the thing to get Taylor to like him. Sunday, Bret, Chris, Jay, Will, and Adam vote together to oust Jessica. Unfortunately for Adam, in the next hour everyone collectively decides they no longer need Adam and certainly don’t trust him, so they punt the vote and boot him unanimously. Somehow he still doesn’t play the idol, and Adam goes to hang with his BFF Taylor in Ponderosa.

  Andy John Matt
Mark Emma
Readers
First Boot Jessica CeCe CeCe Jessica Rachel
Sunday
Second
Boot
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Third
Boot

Lucy Paul Paul Bret
Paul
Paul
Fourth
Boot

Lucy Lucy
Lucy
Lucy
CeCe Lucy
Fifth Boot
Figgy CeCe
CeCe
Jessica
Taylor CeCe
Sixth Boot
Figgy Taylor
Figgy
Jessica
Figgy Taylor
Seventh Boot
Bret Bret
Sunday
Bret
Bret Bret
Eighth
Boot

Chris
Taylor
Chris
Michelle
Jay
Taylor
Ninth
Boot

Adam
Taylor
Taylor
will_wahl_tWill Taylor
Taylor
Tenth
Out

Adam
Jessica
Sunday
Adam Jessica question-mark
Eleventh
Out

Chris
Jay
Chris
Sunday
Adam question-mark
Score
  Andy John Matt
Mark Emma
Readers
Preseason
Winner
Pick
Taylor Adam
Ken
Taylor
Zeke Mari
Mid-season
Winner Pick
Ken Adam
David
David
Zeke David

Make your picks below and don’t be afraid to give your explanation in the comments. 

Who will be the tenth boot of Survivor MvGX?

  • Will (29% Votes)
  • Adam (22% Votes)
  • Jessica (14% Votes)
  • Sunday (11% Votes)
  • Chris (9% Votes)
  • Bret (8% Votes)
  • Jay (5% Votes)
  • Ken (2% Votes)
  • Hannah (2% Votes)
  • David (0% Votes)
  • Zeke (0% Votes)

Total Voters: 65

Loading ... Loading ...

Who will be the eleventh boot of Survivor MvGX?

  • Jessica (18% Votes)
  • Adam (16% Votes)
  • Sunday (16% Votes)
  • Chris (15% Votes)
  • Jay (11% Votes)
  • Will (10% Votes)
  • Bret (8% Votes)
  • David (5% Votes)
  • Ken (2% Votes)
  • Hannah (0% Votes)
  • Zeke (0% Votes)

Total Voters: 62

Loading ... Loading ...
Andy
Follow me

Andy

Co-host of the Purple Rock Survivor Podcast and the Canadian of the group, Andy has been watching Survivor continuously since the very beginning and likes to treat that as some kind of virtue to lord over others.

Favourite seasons: Heroes vs Villains, Cook Islands, Palau, The Amazon, Cagayan
Favourite players: Boston Rob, Kim Spradlin, Tony Vlachos, Cirie Fields, Yul Kwon, Rob Cesternino
Andy
Follow me
  • The seemingly random setup of a Sunday/Jessica split last episode has to lead to something, right? A multi-episode red herring would be odd (but not necessarily unwelcome), so I think Jessica’s going home next (and then Sunday emerges as a mastermind?). Once the alliance of 9 actually splits, I agree with Emma that no one will feel the need to keep Adam around. I actually forgot that he had an idol when I made my pick, but I could easily see him going out with an idol. Last week, I maintained that he could still be getting a winner’s edit, but I’ve completely flipped and decided that he’s getting a “sent home with an idol” edit.

    • Kemper Boyd

      I think it will not be the first boot of the night but the second. I can see a double idol use coming up. If Jay uses his then Adam will use his and Will goes home. The it’s Jess v Sunday and I think Sunday may be on the loosing side.

      • Alycia Swift

        We can only hope that Sunday is on the losing side. Its very strange but while I like Hannah and Jess, other than Michaela, I did not care for the other women this season. Sunday just got lucky that she paired with Bret and Chris and those two got along. Sunday’s beef with Jess just seems to be out of guilt for trying to get her out previously. So far, there’s no indication that Jess has the same issue. She might, but we have not been shown that.

      • I definitely think something’s breaking up the majority alliance, keeping Jay and Will safe this week. The order could go either way.

        • Kemper Boyd

          I feel like it will break but not for both votes.

  • Black Dynamite

    I’ve been trying to think where Will telling people about Jay’s idol plays into things. I’m predicting the idol gets flushed, sending Will home as the other target. While Adam is hurt long term by his play, I think this episode there will be other targets with Jay’s idol and Sunday’s quest to oust Jessica.

    As for the second hour, this will be when Gen X permanently fractures into David/Jessica/Ken vs Bret/Chris/Sunday. The Mills are in the middle and I think Zeke, Hannah and Adam side with the first trio and takes out the perceived biggest threat in Chris. It will be interesting where Jay goes. It’s been established that he has a connection with Sunday.

    So Will and Chris are my picks. Also, unrelated to Survivor but super important and needs to be mentioned, Gilmore Girls is back on Friday!!

    • Kemper Boyd

      I am so excited for Gilmore Girls.

  • Black Dynamite

    This week’s power rankings. This is the players most likely to win the game.

    1. David
    2. Ken
    3. Zeke
    4. Hannah
    5. Jessica
    6. Jay
    7. Chris
    8. Bret
    9. Sunday
    10. Adam
    11. Will

    Adam slips again in the rankings after another horrible week. He’s drawing dead. I still think Jay has maneuvers he can make but the odds aren’t in his favor. The rise of Hannah continues, we are all witnesses. This isn’t just the crush talking. I legitimately see a path to her victory, though not the most likely.

    • Kemper Boyd

      I agree with you here. Almost exactly. Although I’d have Hannah lower because I think although it will be harder for Chris, Jess and Jay to get to the end each of them stands a better shot than Hannah if they gets there.

      • Purplerockmatt

        I agree with this sentiment as regards Hannah. Personally I have Jay fourth. His road is very hard, but he has the biggest edit after the top 3, much bigger than Jessica and Hannah, and I honestly don’t believe a woman is winning this season especially with a jury that will be predominantly male (who always struggle to vote for a woman over a man)

        • Kemper Boyd

          A woman is 100% not winning this season because the only one who could is Jessica and we haven’t seen enough of her.
          I don’t think most of the men on this jury wouldn’t vote for a woman, I just don’t think these women will have done enough for them.

          • andythesaint

            That’s a good way of putting it. It’s not that these men wouldn’t vote for a woman, it’s that they’re not gonna vote for THESE women. Because if any of them get to the end, it will be by playing the type of game that wouldn’t appeal to them.

          • Purplerockmatt

            but that is the argument they always make. They aren’t against voting for women, but the women who reach the end haven’t made the moves that they are looking for. In other words they constantly prize the aspects of the game that they associate with their own maleness (big moves, physical prowess), and devalue the social game

          • andythesaint

            Right. I’m just saying that they’d probably vote for Michaela.

            So it’s not women that they wouldn’t vote for. It’s feminine players.

          • Purplerockmatt

            right, but i’m just saying that isn’t just a problem this season

          • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

            Unless those big moves and physicality come in the form of Russell Hantz. And if Scot or Kyle had made it to F3, I don’t think Nick, Neal, or Joe would vote for either of them.

          • jersey_luck

            The fact is that in the game, Jason had a legit chance to win a jury. I feel that enough people would have respected them to consider it. On the show however, Jason had no shot.

          • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

            That’s a fact? They didn’t do much to ingratiate themselves with everyone else, and if Aubry was against them in say F6, her moves would’ve been much more apparent (which is what did her in)

          • jersey_luck

            It is a discussion that could be had but to be honest we will never know for sure. I am just basing it on who the jury would be and I can see them giving the check to father who is raising an autistic daughter

          • StormofCuteness

            I really appreciate you writing this because I hadn’t known how to verbalize how annoying I have found this, and I am getting tired of the whole “there is no bias against the women/feminine” argument.

      • Black Dynamite

        I don’t disagree with that statement. Part of why I ranked Hannah highly is that I see different routes where she can get to the finals that I don’t see with the other three you mentioned. What Hannah does from now and there and who she is sitting with and what qualities the jury prioritize in how they vote is an especially big question mark for her. She is aware of the idea that she is looked at as the goat. That is a tough label to shed. I find myself impressed in the relationships she has built with other players. I found the two post blindside vote conversations with Jay (Michaela, Michelle votes) very enlightening of both players social strengths. I think Hannah can continue to build on the relationships.

        As for the rankings, I consider both the chances of getting to the finals and winning the finals but I weigh getting there a little higher. You can’t win if you’re not there.

    • Roswulf

      I’d drop Ken behind Zeke- it’s been a while since we’ve actually had a Ken focus, rather than him sitting and being pretty and perturbed in the background. The story of Ken’s alliance is not being told as the story of Ken.

      I also share the crowd’s Hannah skepticism- It’s hard for me to envision her reaching the end with a final three she can beat (WILL! ADAM! Jay with a sufficiently bitter jury! Maybe Sunday, but probably not!).

      But I also think there is no prohibitive favorite, or small group of real contenders. I would not be surprised by any of David, Ken, Zeke, Jess, Jay or Chris winning. I like that openness.

      Anyways, my point is that Will will win, and we who have remained his loyal acolytes shall bask in the warming glow of being vicariously mocked by Jeff Probst for not being old enough to legally drink.

      • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

        I feel like Hannah is appropriately ranked because she has a significantly greater chance of reaching F3 than Jess, Jay, or Chris. Those three have more F3 permutations in which they win, but the path to Final Tribal is a lot narrower

        • giorgos

          I don’t think Jessica is beating many people. Moms with passive personality most of the times get dismissed.

        • Alycia Swift

          I don’t think Hannah would convince anyone if David, Zeke, Ken or Chris and possibly Jay or Jess was in the finals. I think she has a shot with anyone else depending upon the combo of who it is.

        • andythesaint

          Shows the different ways people think about the game. Some people focus on situations/moves in how likely they will get a player to the end. Some focus on who could win if they get there.

          Both are legitimate ways of evaluating the show.

      • Black Dynamite

        Ken and Zeke are very close in my book. I think Ken will actually be viewed as less of a threat than Zeke. I’m not too worried about the lack of Ken these past few episodes. There is still a lot of time for him to be in the forefront of the story.

      • I really don’t get the whole Ken winner’s edit thing. Is it just edgic, which I deliberately stay away from to avoid spoilers/being irritated? Then again, I didn’t buy into the OWM narrative last season. Evidently I’m very good at deciding who’s getting a winner’s edit.

        • andythesaint

          He looked like a winner early on, he has the ability to get himself to the finals, and it seems like he’ll be well enough liked by the majority of people out there. It’s not that complicated.

          His winner edit has gone completely AWOL since the merge tho. It was the early episodes where it was more of a thing.

          • You’re probably right. It just seems weird to me that someone would turn purple at the merge and still be considered a strong winner contender. But my winner pick last season was Liz and this season was Adam, so I don’t necessarily know what I’m talking about.

          • I mean male winners have gone cold for an episode or two (Jeremy in the pre-merge of Cambodia disappeared for a while), but not this long and not at this pivotal point of the game.

    • Diego Armando

      I really don’t have any confidence in Hannah being able to convince a Jury she deserves a victory. She took 10 minutes to vote for a Millenial, she had a panic attack sitting on a bench and we saw her annoying Zeke after a vote. Which 2 players can she beat?

      • Black Dynamite

        I think she has a chance against Sunday, Will, Jessica, Bret and Chris.

        • Diego Armando

          I think Sunday and Chris beat her easily. They have demonstrated more social game than she has. I am pretty confident that Jessica and Bret could take her out also. Will is the only one she could maaaayyyybbbbeee win, but even then I know he will have 3 votes (I assume ADAM is the other player).

    • Diego Armando

      I think Zeke, David and Ken are the frontrunners in that order and that Chris and Jay are the next closest.

    • Mike Hirsch

      I would simultaneously rank Chris’s chances both higher and lower. If he gets to final tribal, I can see him winning pretty handily. Him getting to tribal at this point feels like the longest of long shots.

    • How is this list now? Bleeding profusely as Jay climbs his way towards the top?

      • Black Dynamite

        I’ll put out the next list on the next prediction post but I think Jay is either going to be 2 or 3.

  • Sadie

    Ughh….

    First boot: do they split between Jay and Will (I don’t think Zeke will want to take out Will)

    Do they split between Jay and Adam (who plays the idol?)

    Do they take advantage and split between Jay and one of their own (Chris or Jess?)

    Would Jay sit on his idol again?

    I’m saying Jay or Will goes first. Probably Will.

    Chris or Jess goes second depending on Zeke’s call.

    I think… I really can’t tell though…

  • Diego Armando

    My first pick will be Will. I just Jays idol will cause everyone to stay the course for a week and target the unaligned Will (this will also benefit David’s group, since he and Jay have more ties to Sunday’s trio).

    For the second vote I say Jay wins Immunity and GenX targets each other. I think Zeke, Hannah and to a far lesser extent, ADAM, decide to target the Sunday group. I think Zeke will want so save Chris and that Hannah still doesn’t trust Bret, so Bret is their target.

    • prettyboyprobst

      I didn’t have a strong feeling either way, but this is exactly where I ended up when I made my picks for this week right after the last episode (although I was thinking vote-split and idol play by Jay on the first vote).
      Now that I’ve gone through the comments and staff picks here and watched the preview, I’m even less sure what to expect. Could there be two genX-boots? Is Adam’s time really up? Would they really go two weeks in a row without voting off a woman, especially now that juicy targets like Sunday and Jessica are after each other? I’lI just go ahead and vote with my initial gut feeling now, but I could be swayed in many directions and like a halfway decomposed leaf dancing in the wind, there’s no telling where my picks will land in the end.

  • Diego Armando

    Unfortunately, I likely will not be commenting much this week due to Thanksgiving and the Sharcules approved excuse of dog sitting a border collie in a house without cable. I likely will not watch both episodes before Friday. Happy Thanksgiving!

    • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

      I’ll step up by commenting a lot this week because I’m back home and not at class, so I can watch an episode live for once. Anything you want to said live on Wednesday?

      • Diego Armando

        Andy is wrong (for general reasons).

        Also, “ADAM UPSET TAYLOR WENT HOME. WE HAVE GREAT FRIENDSHIP”.

    • sharculese

      I met two border collies last week, they were awesome.

      I’m not sure when I’ll be on here either, my one roommate is irritated enough that I got his sister hooked on an hour a week of Survivor, so I’ll probably have to wait until he goes to bed to watch two.

      • Diego Armando

        I think he may actually be a regular collie but he is still nice

  • Mike Hirsch

    I’m hoping that when the majority alliance fractures, Chris’s trio is on the losing side of the vote (because, eh), but I just see that happening next week. This week I’m saying Adam will first be hoist by his own petard (though I’m not sure specifically what said petard will be as of yet). Then, in hour two, Will tries to win over the Gen Xers by telling them of Jay’s idol, and winds up being hoist by *his* own petard when Jay is forced to play that idol.
    Petards!

  • andythesaint

    Interesting (to me) discussion here that leads me to do an informal poll: which do you value more in assessing a player’s chances of winning: the ability to get to the end, or the ability to win if they get there? Obviously both are important, but where do you lean?

    • andythesaint

      I obviously care more about players who can win if they get to the end. Getting there with little to no chance to win doesn’t really impress me.

      • Black Dynamite

        I’m also more impressed by players who can win if they can get to the end but their odds of winning are lower than the person who can more easily get to the end. There is a balance though. The best have both a higher chance of getting to the finals and winning once there.

      • sharculese

        I think that’s the central problem with this question. Survivor isn’t a game where everyone plays with the same difficulty level. Outside of weird outliers like Aubry, people who aren’t seen as winners by the jury don’t have to work as hard to get to the end, and people who are seen as winners have to work a lot harder. It’s a sliding scale.

    • Black Dynamite

      I mentioned this elsewhere in the comments, I weigh the ability to get to the end more than the long shot that would more likely win once there.

    • Other Scott

      In assessing a player’s chance of winning I value their overall talent as a player. People like Jay look like big threats and are in the minority, but they still have a better chance than 3/4s of the people left because they know how to play the game and have the skills to pull things off.

    • jersey_luck

      For me it is personally it is 60 percent of how likely there are to make the finale and 40 percent about what they have do to win.

    • StormofCuteness

      Frankly, more and more, I’m disturbed by who will likely win as opposed to those I think are actually trying to outwit and use their intellect/social game/perseverance to do so. The fact that those skills mean they more frequently don’t make it to the finals let alone win makes me bemoan the whole “as long as they get there” thing.
      Also, I’m clearly still bitter about Aubry’s loss.

    • DrVanNostrand

      The two are literally equally important. If the likelihood of a player reaching FTC is P(FTC) and the likelihood of getting more votes once they’ve gotten there is P(WinFTC), then the probability of winning $1 million would be P(FTC)*P(WinFTC). Tony would have a very high value for P(WinFTC), because people generally like him, and generally respect his game. His P(FTC) should not be great, because only an idiot would take him to the end. Speaking of Woo, his would be reversed. I would guess he has a good P(FTC) because a lot of people would think they could beat him. And he would have a very low P(WinFTC) because I think those people would be right.

      • andythesaint

        Well, sure, they are both important to winning. Equal as you say. I’m just wondering how people weigh each when thinking of hypothetical winners. Obviously, the people who rank highly in both get ranked highest in winner’s chances. But when you have to decide between the two, which do you favour?

      • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

        This is my school of thought. It’s not that one precedes the other; they’re more like a matrix. My comment below sounds like I put FTC over WinFTC, but I think that’s because there are so many permutations of F3 that it’s hard to nail down any one person’s chance of winning at F3. We only do that easily for players that are drawing dead or are dominating the game (but then we don’t have this discussion). However, we can easily look at the field and pick out those who have a better chance of going far, so that becomes an easier metric to measure.

    • andythesaint

      To elaborate on why I give more weight to those I believe could win at the end vs those I believe have an easier path to get there, the difference for me is that we’ve seen far more examples of players with long odds to get to the end do so than we have seen players who don’t seem well liked/are well featured in the story win when they get there.

      Basically, there are FAR more avenues in the game to allow someone to make an improbable run to the finals than there are avenues to help an underestimated player change a jury’s mind. This is even more true now that they’ve stripped FTC down to Q&A only (although very few games have ever been won at FTC even when they had opening and closing arguments).

      A player like Jay with longer odds to get to the end has the following things to help him get there: immunity necklaces, hidden idols (possible multiple), hidden advantages, and general alliance fracturing. If he can do these things, his underdog status gives him an even BIGGER advantage to win, since juries like underdogs and generally, the underdog had friends that got put on the jury before him/her.

      Winners that fit that description include (spoilers):
      -Jenna M
      -Chris
      -Danni
      -JT
      -Fabio
      -Denise
      -Tony
      -Mike

      Winners who surprised us with a win at FTC (arguably) include:
      -Amber
      -Natalie W
      -Michele

    • Diego Armando

      I tend value overall chances of winning over getting to the end. For example, I think Hannah can easily get to the end, but the only situation where I could see her winning is against ADAM and Will and even then I am not convinced that she beats Will. On the other side, someone like Chris would have a hard time making it to the end, but if he does, I could see him winning, so I would value Chris much more than I would Hannah.

      Overall I tend to evaluate these people on (in order of Importance:
      1. Do I think this person can win
      2. What are his/her avenues to make it to the end in a winnable position and how likely are those to happen
      3. In what standing are they compared to the other contenders
      4. Does the show care about him/her

    • Roswulf

      I think the skills are equally important to winning, but that we as viewers are much better at assessing who can win rather than who can get to the end. So in predicting a winner, I value ability to win at Final Tribal more, but in assessing a winner’s skill after the fact, I’d put equal weight on getting there.

      With relatively few exceptions (like…uh…last season), Survivor is going to tell a story that explains how the winner got their votes. The stories about who can get to the end are more chaotic, and a signal that a player is good at advancing is very often a short-to-medium-term plot.

    • Assistant Dragon Slayer

      This isn’t directly related to your question, but last night’s episodes (and the Michaela boot episode) really crystallized something in my mind–Many of the current crop of players seem to think that being on the path to non-winning finalist is just as bad as being on the path to getting voted out next, so you might as well blow everything up and deal with the consequences later. I’m tempted to call it the Vlachos Doctrine.

      • andythesaint

        And I support this way of thinking. Survivor is often lost way earlier than most people assume it is for people who get to the end.

        • As we saw with Aubry last season because in theory, three of the jurors weren’t going to vote for about she scratched out Julia’s name at the Peter boot.

          • andythesaint

            A moment a lot of people thought I was being unfair in calling out excessively.

          • Assistant Dragon Slayer

            That’s different though. That’s vacillating, which is deadly because it demonstrates to everybody, especially your allies, that you can’t be trusted. That’s why you don’t cross somebody’s name out and write down somebody else, why you don’t spend 10 minutes in the voting booth, why in most cases you should go to rocks rather than break a deadlock, and why you don’t burn everybody at the auction then back down.

          • Hindsight is 20/20.

  • DrVanNostrand

    As a Wisconsinite myself, I can’t wait to hear more of John’s Minnesota accent. John definitely wins the ‘Andrew Lincoln Award for the Most Authentic US Regional Accent’.

    • KARRRRRRRRRLLLLLL!

  • Hornacek

    Maybe these episodes will prove me wrong but it feels like the Sunday/Jessica feud is completely one-sided, with Jessica not harboring any ill-will towards Sunday (she got over the Lucy vote long ago) and being oblivious about Sunday wanting to vote her out. It just feels like if this were a real thing that we would have seen some/anything from Jessica’s perspective to show us that this feud went both ways. Because we haven’t seen anything from Jessica about this, I suspect Sunday’s plan will backfire on her and she’ll be the one voted out. Bonus points if Jessica remains oblivious to Sunday’s opinion of her throughout the entire thing.

  • Side Character

    I’d kinda like to see it end up being that the readers picked the same person for both episodes. Like they’re so confident that one person is going home this week, but they don’t know if it’s in the first or second hour.

    • andythesaint

      Same.

  • Ms. Sweaterfan

    Given that the double ep that aired the night before Thanksgiving last year was (I believe) the lowest rated episode(s) of Survivor ever, any predictions on whether tonight’s episodes will over or under perform last year’s?

    • andythesaint

      Under. Last year was an all-star cast.

  • Roswulf

    I went with “Will, then Jay”, not because I think it’s particularly likely to happen, but because as a two-episode story it requires the least amount of things to work together. Since we know Jay’s idol becomes common knowledge, all that has to happen is for the current majority to prioritize getting rid of Jay.

  • Assistant Dragon Slayer

    Hour 1: “Jay has an idol” turns into a telephone game, and as a result half the castaways think Jay has an idol and the other half think Sunday has an idol. Will wins immunity again, and in complete confusion, they decide to split the vote between Jay and Sunday to at least flush the idols. At tribal, Jay plays his idol. Seeing another opportunity to win the undying loyalty of a GenXer, David plays his idol for Sunday. As a result, only Sunday’s vote counts. She promised not to vote for Jay, so she threw her vote away on someone she was absolutely positive was in no danger. The vote is 1-0 David.

    Hour 2: Having lost his closest ally, Ken goes on an epic rant about how nobody is playing the game with integrity or honor. It’s a level of self-righteousness Andrew Savage could only dream of. Everybody punts on strategy for a week because seriously, Ken won’t give it a rest. The vote is 8-1 Ken.

    Fuck you, edgic.

  • True Alainer

    It’s funny that the two players with 0% of the votes at the 2nd poll were actually the two who were tied on the vote.