Survivor Millennials vs Gen X Week 12 Predictions and Polls

Back to simple predictions of just following where the order of the game should logically progress. You know, if this season will ever have that.

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Next Boot Predictions

Last week, all of us but Mark got one of the boots for the double episode correct. Only the readers got one in the right order. For all the wrong reasons, but still, they move into a tie for first.

Andy: If you were 18 and looking to take control of the game you’ve been watching on TV since you were in diapers, what would you do? Try to take out the biggest power player in the game. It really doesn’t take that imaginative a mind to realize that at this very second, that player is Zeke. Now, why would you do that when flipping to a side where you have no relationships would promise you no safety in the game going forward? Because it’s a Big Move silly. It’s time to take control! Will makes his big move while David and Ken sit around wondering how they got such an easy freebie.

John: If nothing else, the one thing I got right in my predictions last week is that Sunday is a stone-cold killer. Did you see how deftly she managed to convince David’s side to protect Ken? It ultimately resulted in her taking out Jessica- which has been her inexplicable goal for a long time. Sunday is boss af. So this week, when Will starts getting wild ideas of becoming a free agent after attempting to throw Sunday’s buddy Jay under the bus last week, the Minnesota Murderess is going to get Lil Willy Milkdrinker’s torch snuffed.

Matt: Zeke. Because I still believe David is winning this season and I have no reason to believe that next week will be anything but a return to David vs Zeke.

Mark: Well that was fun. I have no idea where this is going, but if Will and Jay are truly serious about working with David, I can see them pulling a Misfit 5 and voting out Bret or Sunday. Judging purely on screen time, let’s say Bret. I just hope he doesn’t cry over this.

Emma: Once again, I’m going back and forth with who will be voted out. With both of the people who went head to head at the last vote still there, anything could happen. But what seems unlikely to happen is Will taking control of the game. I say his attempt to peek out from under the radar backfires and the youngest lad goes to Ponderosa.

  Andy John Matt
Mark Emma
Readers
First Boot Jessica CeCe CeCe Jessica Rachel
Sunday
Second
Boot
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Third
Boot

Lucy Paul Paul Bret
Paul
Paul
Fourth
Boot

Lucy Lucy
Lucy
Lucy
CeCe Lucy
Fifth Boot
Figgy CeCe
CeCe
Jessica
Taylor CeCe
Sixth Boot
Figgy Taylor
Figgy
Jessica
Figgy Taylor
Seventh Boot
Bret Bret
Sunday
Bret
Bret Bret
Eighth
Boot

Chris
Taylor
Chris
Michelle
Jay
Taylor
Ninth
Boot

Adam
Taylor
Taylor
will_wahl_tWill Taylor
Taylor
Tenth
Boot

Adam
Jessica
Sunday
Adam Jessica will_wahl_tWill
Eleventh
Boot

Chris
Jay
Chris
Sunday
Adam Jessica
Twelfth
Out

Zeke
will_wahl_tWill
Zeke
Bret
will_wahl_tWill
question-mark
Score
  Andy John Matt
Mark Emma
Readers
Preseason
Winner
Pick
Taylor Adam
Ken
Taylor
Zeke Mari
Mid-season
Winner Pick
Ken Adam
David
David
Zeke David

Make your picks below and don’t be afraid to give your explanation in the comments. 

Who will be the twelfth boot of Survivor MvGX?

  • Will (29% Votes)
  • Zeke (28% Votes)
  • Bret (13% Votes)
  • Adam (9% Votes)
  • David (9% Votes)
  • Sunday (6% Votes)
  • Jay (3% Votes)
  • Hannah (1% Votes)
  • Ken (1% Votes)

Total Voters: 78

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Andy
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Andy

Co-host of the Purple Rock Survivor Podcast and the Canadian of the group, Andy has been watching Survivor continuously since the very beginning and likes to treat that as some kind of virtue to lord over others.

Favourite seasons: Heroes vs Villains, Cook Islands, Palau, The Amazon, Cagayan
Favourite players: Boston Rob, Kim Spradlin, Tony Vlachos, Cirie Fields, Yul Kwon, Rob Cesternino
Andy
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  • Black Dynamite

    I went with Bret for the boot, mostly because I’m not ready for Zeke or David to go. So I say Will is successful in flipping to the David side but Zeke wins immunity. Bret seems like the next option up. This a huge week for David’s game. He was weakened by losing an idol and an ally but I think he still has s good path to victory but he has to get a win this week. Ousting Bret would be s good thing for his game.

    • andythesaint

      The interesting question for a David victory: can the Cochran type win when people are clued in this early about the threat you pose?

      • Black Dynamite

        A lot of times I would say no but I think having Zeke around takes some of that pressure off David. I also like the relationship he has win Ken and the one he is developing with Hannah. I think both of those players view David as their number 1 ally. Maybe 2 in Hannah’s case. Either way, it’s incredibly helpful to have someone place you highly as a confidant.

        • I think a large portion of David’s endgame is going to played out with how he handles the fallout. Can he detonate the Bret bomb? Can he talk Hannah into understanding why he used the idol to protect Ken when he clearly told her that he would only use the idol to protect David and Hannah? Can he be civil to Zeke?

          • jniedj

            Find out on the next episode of Dragonball Z!

          • Same battime, same batstation.

            Dang it, I messed it up.

          • sharculese

            So David and Zeke are just gonna grunt at each other for 30 minutes? Yeah, okay, I’ll watch that.

  • Black Dynamite

    This week’s power rankings. A lot of changes after the past two explosive episodes. This is who is most likely to win the game.

    1. David
    2. Jay
    3. Zeke
    4. Ken
    5. Hannah
    6. Bret
    7. Sunday
    8. Adam
    9. Will

    Jay is the big mover this week. He nicely faded into the background as others moved to target each other. Sometimes not having control could be best for your game. He still has the idol too. Ken has been mostly quiet the past couple of weeks. I think is path to victory is highly dependent on how others view David at the end. He also has the legacy advantage now. I’m aware my ranking of Hannah will be mostly viewed as being too high. I think the winner will be one of the top 4 but if some crazy reason that doesn’t play out, Hannah could be the main beneficiary.

    • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

      I like these rankings, but my gut says Sunday should be higher than Hannah and/or Bret, even if the evidence doesn’t bear that out.

      • Roswulf

        Sunday’s problem for me is that she’s an interesting screen presence who has done interesting things…and has remained completely invisible. Stories that could have been told through Sunday have ignored her existence.

        Essentially, I feel like Sunday is too good to win with an edit this bad.

        • Yeap. A lot of her screentime was given to either Chris or Bret.

    • Roswulf

      I totally agree with this list.

      I’m very down on Hannah in the abstract, but the edit arguments against Bret, Sunday, and Will are too strong, and Adam is a trainwreck on a higher level

      • Diego Armando

        I think Hannah is prominent in the edit because the show finds her amusing and think she will get a fan base.

    • I have been wondering about Ken’s edit and while I’m not on board the OWK train, I wonder if they are trying to protect Ken in the edit as well. You can see the editors doing a similar thing with Jeremy during the Stephen boot. Jeremy had a very minimal edit that episode despite the fact that he lost his closest ally.

      • Diego Armando

        Ken is kind of fading. He really has not been present in the last 3-4 episodes. That does not usually occur with winners of his type (buff men). Others have had an episode or two off, but this many is alarming. The fact that Jessica and David were considered bigger threats also is not great. I still think he can win, but he will need to step up. I would not be surprised if he went home tonight.

        • I have been thinking about that as well. However, I think there is a reason why we have been getting so much of Bret lately and it’s not because he’s the winner.

        • Sadie

          As weird as it seems, I cannot see Ken as ever being more in this game then David’s sidekick.

          On that note, when was the last time we had a relationship like David and Ken’s on the show?

          We’ve had tight bonds that are somethat explored and strategic relationships. But Ken and David’s bond is both and it has been highlighted consistently and positively since episode 2. Even episode 1 with the stick bug bonding.

      • DrVanNostrand

        Maybe they want Ken to return someday. (Please god, don’t let Ken return some day)

    • Diego Armando

      My rankings:

      1. Zeke (Won the week and has the advantage)
      2. David (Still a front runner, but can’t be number 1 because he lost an idol and a close ally)
      3. Jay (Can only rise)
      4. Ken (Starting to fall out of it)
      5. Sunday (Dark horse? Probably not)
      6. Bret (Had a solid week)
      7. Will (Shrug)
      8. ADAM (Was not terrible)
      9. Hannah (Was terrible)

  • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

    I voted for Zeke. I don’t want to see Zeke go, but if David/Ken/Hannah/Adam/Will vote together, then Zeke needs to win immunity, which I sadly don’t see happening. Also, we (the commentariat) are tied with Matt, and for gameplay reasons, we probably shouldn’t try to pull ahead until F7 or F6.

  • Maritimer

    Here’s my left field hypothetical for this week: The loved one reward happens and Adam uses his advantage and explains why (or doesn’t use it, but explains his situation anyways because Adam). Everyone decides they can’t let his story anywhere near a jury and they vote him out.

    • Roswulf

      Is it wrong that just thinking about this made me laugh?

      I think it means I’m a monster.

      • andythesaint

        Same.

      • Maritimer

        I feel it would be such an Adam thing to happen it would be hard not to laugh a little bit

    • sharculese

      My roommate was watching Big Bang Theory last night and the new preview came on, this was the exchange we had:

      Her: Adam knows stealing someone’s loved one visit will get him voted out, right?

      Me: I’m… not sure.

      • I am still convinced that he forgot that he has an idol.

      • Hornacek

        One of the funniest things this season is that Adam is convinced that his advantage is a good thing and that it can be used to help him win.

        • Crappy

          I don’t think he believe that at all. Infact he flat out said that the advantage has no impact on the game. That statement is false since it can negatively impact someone but he does not think it will help him win. In fact I won’t be surprised if he thinks the advantage is useless as well (hence why he erroneously chose to reveal that to Taylor and not the idol) and just that the editors are choosing to tell it otherwise to play it up. My prediction is that he will either not use the advantage next episode or use it in a very harmless way

          • Hornacek

            I don’t know, the way he talked about it when he revealed it to Taylor, it really sounds like he thinks he found something great.

      • Kemper Boyd

        SHE’S LEARNING!! Did 5000 hours of Australian Survivor help?

    • andythesaint

      I think there’s a good chance that Adam explains his advantage again (as shown), gives his story, but then says he will not be using it – before the challenge. In the hopes that someone brings him to the reward.

  • Roswulf

    Woe be unto you John and Emma, and to all the Readers for you have questioned the eternal verity of the one true Will.

    Have you learned nothing from the example of Mark, whose predictive abilities have been cursed ever since he questioned Will’s inevitable win in the Ninth Boot? You have chosen the black rock from the bag of fate (not the purple rock, the BLACK ROCK- that’s how cursed you are).

    Verily I say onto you, Will’s will will triumph!

    • Hornacek

      Big Will

    • Sylvisual

      My predictive abilities have been cursed ever since I owned last season, or at least the end of September. See also: Pick-4. 🙁

  • As much as I want the David/Zeke power struggle to continue for the rest of the season, I think Zeke has set himself up as too much of a threat. We heard Hannah call him condescending last episode, and he didn’t look great at tribal, which leads me to think that David definitely makes it further than he does. I could also see Will trying to make a move and failing miserably, but I don’t think he’d go home until after Zeke (even though I have no real reason to believe this based on how the season has played out so far).

    • Ms. Sweaterfan

      I agree completely, and I think that if David/Ken are able to take Zeke out, they can then shift the focus back onto Jay as a threat and work on taking him out, with Bret, Will and maybe even Adam as alternate boots in case Jay wins immunity/plays his idol.

  • Max_Jets

    I hope these Will predictions are right. Only Jay can break the curse of Mari.

  • OTT: Who is everyone voting for the Survivor Hall of Fame?

    • That’s the subject of a post coming soon.

      • Sorry for jumping the gun. All I know is that my ballot is not the same as it was last year.

        • Mine isn’t either. We’re hopefully going to post it tomorrow.

        • Purplerockmatt

          mine is exactly the same. exactly. Because i am lazy

    • Hornacek

      It’s Michele right? We’re all voting for Michele. Why are we even discussing this?

    • sharculese

      Dan Lembo
      Bob Crowley
      Carter

      • What is scary is I have definitely saw a nomination for Bob, Keith and JT. One of those three definitely does not belong with the other 2.

        • sharculese

          I’m not joking. I want to make them have to tally that vote.

          • I know at least last year, some one was tallying the votes and there were some interesting selections then.

  • Crappy

    I think Adam will idol out Zeke in this episode. Will flipping is red herring and the 5 from last week stick together and decide to vote for Adam since they think he is less likeliest to have the idol.

    • Crappy

      I was both right and wrong at the same time.. lolz

  • Diego Armando

    I just decided to roll over my Will prediction. I could see the status quo staying, sending David or beautiful Ken home or people flipping and targeting Zeke and Bret.

    The one wild card this week is ADAM. This is the family visit episode and ADAM may be dumb/selfish/oblivious/grief-stricken enough to steal it.

  • sharculese

    Andy’s going to kill me for this, but I’m learning there’s such a thing as too much Outkast in your life.

  • Mike Hirsch

    I just moved today and am braindead and tired so I don’t know. I’ll go with Will flips, Zeke wins immunity, Bret is booted.

    • Diego Armando

      Not a bad prediction.

      • Mike Hirsch

        It came to me in a dream last night how it will happen: Bret will win reward and uncharacteristically get drunk. In a drunken stupor in the middle of the night, Bret wakes up, walks over to a sleeping Will, and pees on his head. This prompts Will to flip.

  • forever1267

    First, I miss getting into the Top 10 because they kick out Chris. And now EVERYONE has chosen one of my final 3 to be the next booted out?!?!? Conspiracy!!!!!!

    I picked Adam. Please let me be right.

  • the sky is falling

    Is there another immunity idol in play this week?

  • Ms. Sweaterfan

    I just feel in my gut that Zeke won’t win. I think we’re either headed for a final three of David, Ken and some zero vote-getter (maybe Hannah?) OR I guess Zeke could make it to the end but bring Jay and end up losing to him? I don’t know, I’m terrible at predictions, but I don’t feel like Zeke has gotten any sort of real ~winner’s edit~ and, to me, the narrative is not super promising for him.

  • prettyboyprobst

    I’m one of the two Jay-votes.
    It’s basically a variation of Andy’s reasoning. I had no idea whom to pick and even thought of Jay as being almost safe this round for a good while after the episode. But after watching Jay’s five(!) extra scenes last and reminding myself of the NtoS, going with what they tell us there feels as good an option as anything out there.

    It seems like Jay still thinks Will has kept this mouth shut about the idol and trusts that he will continue to so. Will fears it’s only a matter of time until his betrayal will be brought to Jay’s attention by someone and doesn’t like the idea of having to deal with it, so when Jay fails to win immunity, he secretly flips to cut him before that happens. Jay, Zeke et al. only realize after the fact that Will has flipped, so Jay mistakenly thinks he can save his idol for another day (which he was very proud of after the final10 TC – seems like he really played it by ear).
    David and his alliance are just as happy with Jay gone instead of Zeke, given he’s a huge jury threat with the capability to win any challenge, and David himself is probably even elated to keep Zeke around, which keeps the game static with battlelines drawn the way they are, now that they are the new majority. Still a freebie.
    Unless he makes a Tayloresque backflip next week (which he won’t, if he doesn’t win immunity, because rocks), this will probably tank Will’s game, but thinking of this as his big move, combined with not wanting to deal with an angry Jay, will make him do it anyway.

    • Sadie

      All solid reasoning… I’ve had a funny, nagging feeling he sits on his idol.

  • Man, Andy was right on the money with his prediction and reasoning.

    • andythesaint

      It happens threes of times.

      • I am just so used to you not doing this well in the weekly predictions.

    • andythesaint

      I was wrong about Ken sitting around wondering how he got so lucky though.