Survivor Millennials vs Gen X Week 3 Predictions and Polls

Well, we sure nailed last week, huh? The result was so obvious that almost everyone had the same predictions, and, well… there’s a reason we don’t put money on this.

pr_predictionsbnr_s33

I think we all think there’s going to be some kind of swap next week, which would render the “pick one per tribe” idea a little less useful and makes predictions even more pointless than normal. We’re still gonna do both though.

Andy: I think we’re going to three tribes next week, which makes predicting based on current alliances kind’ve pointless. Instead, I’ll go with the pattern that’s been developed so far this season and say Lucy is the next to go, whatever tribe she ends up on. If it’s a Millennial that goes home, I’ll say that Figgy winds up annoying a majority of whoever she ends up with. Because I don’t see her getting LESS annoying now that she’s been validated.

John: Paul is already being set up in opposition to Handsome Ken, and I think we’re headed for a story arc of Beautiful Unicorn Ken and his Righteous Journey. Paul is the first to fall victim. Hannah’s strongest ally is Michelle, and Michelle’s strongest ally is not Hannah. I don’t see anyone fighting too hard to keep Hannah around.

Matt: If a Millennial goes home, I’ll say it will be Hannah. I think her vacillation at the last vote just pisses everyone off and makes her an easy target. Also, she isn’t as tied to Michelle as the other pretty people were so she won’t expend game capital to save her. If a Gen X goes, I’ll say Paul just because I believe the show is telling a story about how the Gen X people don’t matter this season except for Ken, David and maybe Sunday.

Mark: Even if there isn’t a swap, I think the majority alliance on Gen X is in trouble. David and Ken have an idol, and with the possible spy twist, whoever goes over could be at risk. Paul or Bret could go over as leaders, which would allow David to work the remaining members to get rid of one of them. I’ll say Bret in the interest of left field vote-outs so far. As far as the Millennials, I think Adam and Hannah are now in trouble. But Michelle has been shown to go to great lengths to save people she’s close with, so I think that Adam will sadly be on the outs. (There’s a reason he and Mari were on the outside looking in at the beach people last week).

Emma: Predicting before a presumed swap is always a dangerous game, because so much depends who ends up with whom. So instead I’ll just have to hope that the stories the editors are telling will pay off this week. In that case, I think Paul gets stuck will the Gen Xers not on his side and is thrown under the bus and that Figgy won’t be able to hack it after being separated by her savior Michelle.

 
Andy John Matt
Mark Emma
Readers
First Boot Jessica CeCe CeCe Jessica Rachel
Sunday
Second
Boot
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Millennials
Third
Out

Figgy Hannah
Hannah
Adam
Figgy question-mark
Gen X
Third
Out

Lucy Paul Paul Bret
Paul
question-mark
Score 0-red 0-red 0-red 0-red 0-red
Preseason
Winner
Pick
Taylor Adam
Ken
Taylor
Zeke Mari

Make your picks below and don’t be afraid to give your explanation in the comments. 

If someone goes home from the Millennials in episode 3, who will it be?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

If someone goes home from Gen X in Week 3, who will it be?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...
Andy
Follow me

Andy

Co-host of the Purple Rock Survivor Podcast and the Canadian of the group, Andy has been watching Survivor continuously since the very beginning and likes to treat that as some kind of virtue to lord over others.

Favourite seasons: Heroes vs Villains, Cook Islands, Palau, The Amazon, Cagayan
Favourite players: Boston Rob, Kim Spradlin, Tony Vlachos, Cirie Fields, Yul Kwon, Rob Cesternino
Andy
Follow me

Sorry for the obnoxious ad, but if you click on this obnoxious ad instead of our usual Amazon link, Amazon sends us extra money. This promotion ends in April, at which point we'll be removing this ad.

Sorry for the obnoxious ad, but if you click on this obnoxious ad instead of our usual Amazon link, Amazon sends us extra money. This promotion ends in April, at which point we'll be removing this ad.
  • Diego Armando

    I think Paul is going, but if a Millenial goes, I think it is Michaela. I think Michelle is loyal to Hannah and will give her Michaela’s spot and Figgy will be happy to send her home.

    • Roswulf

      I don’t think Michelle is much for loyalty, and that Hannah will be waffly rather than committing to her flip on Adam and Zeke. And I also think Michelle views Hannah as a relationship not worth protecting (see last week). Plus, I feel like if the millenials lose there will be some Triforce pressure to strengthen the challenge prowess of the tribe.

      • Diego Armando

        I see where you are coming from, but I am not putting it past the Triforce to be all “That Michaela chick doesn’t understand our bond and laughs at us. Let’s ditch her ass.” I am also trying to come up with a situation where Hannah, Adam, Zeke and Figgy all survive the week (for fantasy purposes).

        • Roswulf

          It’s entirely plausible. I’d add that the Triforce SHOULD be pushing in that direction- Michaela alive in the game is not good for Figgy/Taylor.

          Though of course the real smart path is stomping Adam and Zeke…but that would make me sad.

  • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

    I want to know how David’s idol will play out. I think it’s harder to keep weaker challenge players when the tribes are smaller, and right now, the only thing keeping David safe is his partnership with Ken (and of course, his idol). If they don’t end up on the same tribe, David’s getting the majority of votes and someone else is getting the axe. Would that someone be Paul or does that go out the window once the tribes get shaken up?

    • Diego Armando

      It stays in play if he and Paul are on the same tribe. I think they will be.

  • Black Dynamite

    So last week I posted the idea that the tribes will pick rocks with the three Mills and three Gen X that pick different rocks from the others going to the third beach and forming a new tribe. The following is the configuration of tribes I would want to happen. I have virtually no shot of being correct

    Millennial Tribe
    Adam
    Figgy
    Michaela
    Taylor
    Will
    Zeke

    Gen X Tribe
    CeCe
    David
    Beautiful Ken
    Lucy
    Paul
    Sunday

    New Tribe
    Bret
    Chris
    Hannah
    Jay
    Jessica
    Michelle

    As for the predictions, Paul gets clipped by Ken, David and CeCe. Lucy makes an actual appearance on screen and flips to their side.

    Taylor behaves like a douche to the point that the Mills decide to get rid of him Drew Christy style.

  • turgid_legume

    CBS’s promotional materials have all but confirmed that it’s not a swap. There are preview clips of the combined reward/immunity challenge and it’s the two original teams. Also, they showed the note that teams received and it seems to be just a meetup between portions of both teams for a couple of hours, with some food. I guess that makes sense as they want to milk the premise a little longer. I would be just fine burying the “culture wars” angle ASAP, but clearly CBS feels like it hasn’t wrung that idea for all its worth yet.

    I went with Paul as the most obvious answer on the Gen X tribe. I think Ken, David, and Cece can easily pull in two others from the undecided middle to create a majority. The Millennials tribe is a lot harder to handicap. Certainly Hannah is in a precarious position, but who knows. Maybe Michaela only voted Mari because she knew that she could get Figgy out easily at some later point, and the next vote is that later point. Or maybe it’s Adam who can’t cobble together an alliance. I want to see more camp life at the Millennials camp to figure out what in the world is happening, but doing that requires seeing one of them booted as the winning team usually disappears, and I’d much rather lose one of the boring Gen X players. Oh well.

    • Theoretically, if Beautiful Unicorn Ken can bring one more person in (Jessica, Sunday, or Lucy), that might be all they need. The group of six may split the votes between David and Cece. So if the minority group can convince one person to say they’re in on the split and then betray it, Ken’s band of outcasts should be able to win that vote without using an idol.

  • Diego Armando

    We have an inversion of last season in which only Emma has points.

    • Hornacek

      This is indeed a disturbing universe.

    • corndogshuffle

      This is the darkest timeline.

  • Mike Hirsch

    Sunday is my dark horse pick to win this thing, but to do that she’d have to best my beautiful Ken. So, that better not happen. For this week, I’m going Adam for Millennials, for being too loud, and Paul for Gen X, either idoled out or because David convinces Lucy to vote with them (offscreen) and Paul tries to split between David and CeCe.

  • Violina23

    I’m starting to like Hannah, which means she’s probably the next to be voted off.

    Paul seems too easy, but probably correct in this instance as well.