Survivor Millennials vs Gen X Week 5 Predictions and Polls

To no surprise, we all were able to see the writing on the wall to get our predictions right last week. Well, at least those of us who weren’t intimidated into sounding interesting for an emergency appearance on the podcast.

pr_predictionsbnr_s33-2

Andy: There’s no way of knowing who will wind up with who next week, but I think the odds are decent that Figgy won’t end up with Taylor AND Michelle AND Jay. And I think she needs them all to stay in the game. Or immunity. That would help. Let’s assume she gets neither.

John: CeCe is a woman of color. I’m playing the odds.

Matt: Once again I am echoing John and picking CeCe.  My theory on how this happens is that we get the swap, but CeCe is split up from Ken and David and when her tribe loses the challenge she is seen as the weakest link.  This wouldn’t be coming out of nowhere either, CeCe has performed poorly in previous challenges and people who aren’t her ally on Gen X certainly noticed before.  And her going home would also explain why Ken and David her two allies are getting much better edits than she is.  Because they stick around and she goes home.

Mark: Considering my choice for “screwed by a swap” got voted out in week 2, I’m going to stick with Gen X as the victims here. I can’t get David’s quote from the tribe summit out of my head, so I predict he’ll turn on his generation and vote out Jessica (who will have spilled the beans about the advantage when they get back from Tribal). Loose lips sink ships.

Emma: Okay, so swap boots are notoriously tricky to predict, because who the hell knows what configuration the tribes will be? So you have to go with a combination of story, gut, and past-precedent. The preview speculates that Figgy and Taylor might get split up, and considering the preview last week was not a red herring re: Lucy, I’m going to assume they do get split up. Conventional wisdom suggests that Figgy would be the one to go home, but at swaps, physical threats start to get targeted as a preemptive strike before the merge. Which means Taylor is about to get hit by a totally gnar gnar blindside, brah.

 
Andy John Matt
Mark Emma
Readers
First Boot Jessica CeCe CeCe Jessica Rachel
Sunday
Second
Boot
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Third
Boot

Lucy Paul Paul Bret
Paul
Paul
Fourth
Boot

Lucy Lucy
Lucy
Lucy
CeCe Lucy
Fifth
Out

Figgy CeCe
CeCe
Jessica
Taylor question-mark
Score
Preseason
Winner
Pick
Taylor Adam
Ken
Taylor
Zeke Mari

Make your picks below and don’t be afraid to give your explanation in the comments. 

Who goes home in week 5 of Survivor Millennials vs Gen X?

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Andy
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Andy

Co-host of the Purple Rock Survivor Podcast and the Canadian of the group, Andy has been watching Survivor continuously since the very beginning and likes to treat that as some kind of virtue to lord over others.

Favourite seasons: Heroes vs Villains, Cook Islands, Palau, The Amazon, Cagayan
Favourite players: Boston Rob, Kim Spradlin, Tony Vlachos, Cirie Fields, Yul Kwon, Rob Cesternino
Andy
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  • Black Dynamite

    For about the fourth week in a row I’m picking Taylor. This week it’s basically for the same reason Emma stated. I think Taylor ends up in a tribe with a mix of Gen X and Mills who aren’t in his alliance, with him being a threat they need to remove. Also I would love to see Figgy’s reaction to Taylor getting cut and Michaela’s reaction to Figgy’s reaction. Survivor has the potential to bring so much pleasure.

    • Diego Armando

      I would love that. I picked Jessica because reasons.

  • Black Dynamite

    If I had the power this is how I would have the swap configuration play out. I have a zero percent chance of being right.

    Tribe 1
    Adam
    CeCe
    David
    Hannah
    Ken
    Sunday
    Taylor
    Zeke

    Tribe 2
    Bret
    Chris
    Figgy
    Jay
    Jessica
    Michaela
    Michelle
    Will

    • Purple Rock Emma

      If you are, we get to burn you as a witch.

      • Kemper Boyd

        He must at least be banned from here, with powers of a seer.

      • Purplerockmatt

        since when are we anti-witch? We are pro all non-edgic witches

        • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

          Depending on who you rooted for in Cambodia, you might have an anti-coven slant

      • He turned me into a newt!

        • the sky is falling

          A newt?

          • Hornacek

            (shrugs) He got better.

          • the sky is falling

            Burn him anyway!

          • I got better.

      • Alycia Swift

        Only if he’s made of wood. Or weighs the same as a duck.

  • How are you all liking the site redesign, by the way? I decided to go ahead and put the new design up even as we tweak it.

    • Mike Hirsch

      As a Gen Xer, the most enthusiasm I can muster is a rather apathetic “cool.”

      • andythesaint

        “It’s cool, I guess. If you’re into that sort of thing”.

        • Mike Hirsch

          “I like my websites to look the way they did in the geocities day.”

    • Hornacek

      Pfft, yeah. (does air quotes) Groovy.

    • Alycia Swift

      Its sicky sicky gnar gnar. As a Gen Xer, did I use that right?

      • As a fellow Gen Xer, ¯_(ツ)_/¯

      • DrVanNostrand

        Wrong. So, so wrong. (Though I can’t comment on if you used it right because it’s 100% gibberish to me… grumble, grumble…)

    • DrVanNostrand

      It resizes better on my devices now. On some devices, I bump up the font size in Chrome a bit, and sometimes it screwed up formatting on the previous design, as well as a lot of other sites. This one is much better.

      (Edit: I just realized this makes me sound like an old geezer more than any of the posts where I was actually trying to be an old geezer because I’m Gen X)

      • Nah, that’s exactly the kind of feedback I’m looking for. Part of the motivation for the change was making it easier to use on mobile. We’re going to be trying other things to improve the mobile version soon. I’ve got a couple users doing some testing/feedback for me.

    • prettyboyprobst

      Will you bring the tweet-box back? Maybe even make it scrollable?

      • You mean the one with the tweets from the show account? It’s at the bottom of the page on mobile or the right side on desktop. I’m hoping to have it show tweets from all PRP staff accounts. I’ll look into making it scrollable, too. Thanks!

        • prettyboyprobst

          No, I wasn’t using ABP, not at all!

          But that’s what I meant and I can see them now. No longer in a little box, with room for pics and more tweets, from the amazon smile all the way down to the bottom of the page. Nice, thanks!

          • Ah, yes. You can whitelist our site if you want; we won’t ever have ads (unless you count the Amazon link).

          • prettyboyprobst

            Done. I wouldn’t even mind some small/short ads on the site or the podcast, and the amazon link wasn’t blocked anyway. It’s just that the default position for Adblock is ON and I often forget that it’s even running.

          • I appreciate the sentiment, but the Amazon link is at least helping us break even. And I’m not all that interested in making this a money-making operation.

          • prettyboyprobst

            I know that’s your stance, but if it ever changes or Amazon ends their affiliate program or changes it to the worse, you’ll know you have my blessing, fwliw.

            And just to be clear: I have no problem with the Amazon link at all.
            (Other than I don’t think it works for .de accounts? But I rarely buy stuff over amazon anyway.)

  • Sylvisual

    You voters always flatter us. Go your own way!

    • Hornacek

      You can call it another lonely day.

  • Mike Hirsch

    I’m going with CeCe, as challenge strength-wise, she’s the easiest to vote out. Unless she happens to land with Ken and David. Then I’d possibly go Hannah? I can see a case for pretty much anyone leaving in a swap scenario.

    • Alkanarra

      I actually think CeCe isn’t *that* doomed. Now is when the majority of the swapped tribes start picking off the “stronger” players in anticipation of the merge. There’s no way a majority-holding Gen-X tribe would target her and deliberately weaken their numbers — despite how uneasy they may be with David — and a majority-holding millennial tribe will want to go after who they think will be a bigger threat. (Which will ironically be Bret/Chris because this game is sexist as hell.) It honestly might benefit CeCe to get away from David and Ken so she looks as powerless as possible.

      All goes to show why I love this game. So many ways to look at a blackbird.

  • Who’s Jason?

    • andythesaint

      I call Jay by his formal name.

      Justin “Jason” “Jay”.

      • I just got flashbacks to Kaoh Rong, which is not a good thing because it’s to Kyle Jason Jason Kyle.

      • Hornacek

        That’s a lot of J’s. Does he run a great metropolitan newspaper?

  • SpicyMayoJaySimpson

    I think CeCe might be safe even if she’s not with David and Ken, as long as there’s a Gen X majority on whichever tribe she ends up on. There’s roughly a 28% chance that Gen X has a clear majority on a given tribe, so a 1 in 5 chance that CeCe ends up on a tribe with said majority.

    And yet, I still feel like she’ll be voted out. It’s kinda sad.

  • Saturday Night Palsy

    I hope Tails and Figgs both stick around for a while. I’d like to see them get split up though. And when they’re reunited at the merge I hope we get a good shot of Taylor’s face when he realizes that Figgy has since hooked up with Jay. Triforce!

    • I smell Survivor fan fiction!

  • turgid_legume

    It’s a bad week for predictions. You could justify a lot of different scenarios. CeCe is the obvious choice, since she’s a challenge liability and we haven’t seen much of her in the edit. But honestly neither tribe is monolithic, they both consist of several competing factions, so it really feels like anything is possible.

    • andythesaint

      Swaps are impossible, which is why I just kept the same prediction I’ve been giving for the Millennials since after the first episode. Here’s the most recent swap boots:
      -Koah Rong: Anna
      -Cambodia: Peih Gee and Woo
      -Worlds Apart: Max
      -SJSR: Kelley
      -Cagayan: Cliff Robinson (I think I might’ve actually gotten that one)
      -BvW: Kat
      -Caramoan: Matt Bischoff
      -Philippines: Dawson
      -One World: Monica Culpepper
      -Nicaragua: Tyrone

      From what I remember, not a lot of previous episode build-up to those boots.

      • Purplerockmatt

        anna seemed obvious once we saw how the swap went, peih gee they built up to a little bit, otherwise … yup left field boots

  • forever1267

    Figgy thinks she’s on The Bachelor, so away she goes!

  • DrVanNostrand

    I’m voting CeCe. The fact that she’s a woman of color is my #2 reason. The fact that the edit doesn’t give a shit about her is my #1 reason. I’d put the over/under on how long she lasts at 1.5 weeks. I’d be shocked if she makes it past 3 weeks.

  • Ethan Kyle

    I’m putting my money on Figgy/Taylor or Ken going tonight, unless Ken and David get lucky as shit and end up with Zeke and Adam and go in together