The No Way in Hell Group:
Joe: Joe is actually in a dangerous spot at the moment. I think he is viewed as a huge threat and he is isolated from the rest of his alliance at moment. So why is Joe still safe? Because that tribe isn’t losing and he only has to survive one (or two) more votes until the merge.
Jenn: I think Jenn is winning. There, I said it. Until I am convinced otherwise, this is where Jenn belongs.
The Wet Blankets: Carolyn struck fast, and Tyler seemed to be picking up possible allies on his new tribe. I don’t read too much into Tyler’s big Statute of Liberty impression (remember Aras on the mountain), but you can’t deny they are both doing quite well. I still think their lack of personality isn’t a good sign for their chances of winning, but maybe they just really are that boring and humorless all the time.
They Seem Ok Now, But Could Fall Quick:
Hali: Hali is in a bit of an odd position in my eyes. I think she is third likeliest to win in her alliance, but it’s hard to see a path to the end for her without Joe or Jenn. And I don’t think she can beat either of them. She might even have a tough time beating Will in a final vote despite being much more likely to make it that far than Will is. That said, Hali is still showing no negative signs. Enough screen presence, good alliance.
Hang in There Baby:
(Editor’s note: Matt was not coerced in any way to keep Shirin out of the Zero Percent Club. At least not in any way that I will admit to.)
Zero Percent Club
Geez who haven’t I put in here? Well no one new this week since half the remaining cast is in here:
Will: Will was reintegrated into his alliance, but I still don’t think he has a chance of winning for all the reasons we’ve covered in the past.
Mike: Mike came off two straight episodes looking awful. He was bossy, he worked too hard, he got into pointless arguments. So what happened this week? Mike looked good again! He even roped in Dan and Rodney!
Silly Mike that isn’t a person! Mike will be screwed by…
Dan: Dan is the worst, and I for one actually find his bumbling pretty damn entertaining in the way that someone being terrible makes everyone else’s job much harder. Would Tony have been as fun a winner without Kass? Well Dan may just be this season’s Kass. And I, for one, welcome it.
Rodney: The third member of the Blue Collar alliance of the doomed. Rodney may have survived a vote, but he doesn’t stand a chance. Just remember the day he found his dead sister is only “probably” the worst day of his life. I really don’t think you need the qualifier there, buddy. And that doesn’t even touch on the awfully sexist shit that he was spewing this week. There is no way they would show their winner saying the hateful shit that Rodney was saying.
Sierra: Sierra’s purpose seems clear, she will tear down the Blue Collar alliance’s chances of winning. But does she herself stand a chance of winning? I still say no.
Matt is the founder and president of the Andrew Savage fan club, and remains amazed that Savage was never invited back on the show (Editor’s note: Yet! See a future post/podcast for more details.). You can’t follow Matt on Twitter, because he doesn’t want you to.
Favorite seasons: Micronesia, Heroes vs. Villains, Palau, Philippines, Pearl Islands, Cagayan