Survivor Game Changers Week 3 Predictions and Poll

Time to make predictions again, this time with three cracks at getting two answers right.

Picking one from each tribe this week. Two tribes will go to Tribal Council.

Boot Predictions

Andy: I think there are things that Hali can do to get herself out the spot she’s in. Chiefly, convince Brad that she’d be a more helpful partner than the high-maintenance duo of Tai and Debbie. And I think this is what the show will be trying to convince us in the edit until Hali is unceremoniously voted out.

We don’t want Nuku to go to Tribal Council. We don’t even want to talk about it. Good news: it looks like Sandra is sitting in the challenge and Varner is the caller. So, they’ve got a shot. I think there’s avenues for JT to explore to get himself out of the hole, including becoming the meat shield that players like Sandra and Malcolm need, and/or something involving the idol. Unfortunately, it seems like he’s coming for Sandra. Come at the queen; you best not miss. JT will miss.

Tavua will all want to get rid of Troy because why wouldn’t they? They’ll assume he doesn’t have an idol. They will be wrong. He will target Andrea to try and even some kind of score with another beautiful smart woman who pwned him. His success will make you want to die.

John: Remember in the preseason when Hali suggested in interviews that she didn’t think she deserved to be here? I think this tribe will agree with her. Voting out Hali also allows them to look like they’re remaining loyal to their original tribe.

In the nightmare scenario where Dream Tribe Nuku has to vote someone out, I think it’s possible that JT can convince some people that he’s worth keeping around- probably by suggesting they vote out the only other remaining winner: Sandra.

Ideally, Troy would go home this week from Tavua (well, ideally he would never have been cast). But Troy has an idol, and even he must be aware that he’s an easy consensus target. So assuming Troy plays that idol, it’ll likely be Troy’s vote determining who goes home. And you know who Troy would want to send home? A clever woman. Cirie fits the bill, but Troy will want someone that looks more like the clever woman that punked him in One World. So Andrea it is.

Emma: Mana: Wishful thinking is going to get me somewhere one of these days. Hali certainly has a tough road ahead of her, but here’s hoping Debbie does something to prove she’s unreliable, causing the tribe leaders Brad and FFGCSDT (???) to vote her out instead.

Nuku: All we can do is hope that the beloved blue tribe wins the challenge once again. If they don’t, the combination of Sandra‘s threat and the fear of JT’s idol makes me think that we’ll have to say goodbye to the queen.

Tavua: The Troy-idoling-out-Andrea thing just makes too much sense for too many reasons. I’d like to differentiate more with my predictions (perhaps hence the Debbie prediction), but this one just fits too well. Unfortunately.

Mark: There’s big moves, a big twist and something unprecedented on the way! Two tribes go to tribal, one walks out. (Or they both walk out, who knows.) Since we don’t know the exact nature of the twist, I have to predict one person from each tribe, so here goes. On Mana, I think Debbie could annoy herself out of them game with Tai already willing to let her go and Brad and Hali bonding over the 1st Amendment. With Tavua, Troy is the obvious target, but he has an idol, so let’s say he uses it against Ozzy because there can only be one king of the jungle. Now, Nuku. Oh, Nuku. I love you guys, but I think the “unprecedented” thing is going to be votes against Sandra. Between fear of a JT idol and a clash of temperament, the GOAT is felled by a goat and the Queen goes adios.

Matt: If Mana goes to tribal, I say that Debbie goes home. Here is my thinking: I really want this to happen and am trying to wish it into existence. But to be serious for a moment, I think Brad and Sierra are pretty tight, I think Brad is tight enough with Tai to know he can use him, I think he will see utility in Hali and volatility in Debbie. Also I think he won’t want to take out Tai because that leaves him as the only guy, so it will be a woman and I think Debbie overplays her hand and goes home.

If Nuku, aka Awesome Tribe, aka Tribe That Better Not Go To Tribal Council, goes to tribal council, we lose one of our favorites. That much is guaranteed. Which one? UGH. I will say that it will not be JT. I bet they think JT may have an idol and after 6 days, JT’s charm may have worn them down a bit. BUT I also bet it won’t be JT’s target of choice in Sandra because I honestly think that tribe is afraid to cross Sandra. Which probably means it is Varner. GOD WHY IS THIS TRIBE SO AWESOME?!? So sure Varner. I don’t freaking know

If Tavua goes to tribal… hoo boy. So there is the Troy idol out there, and I think it will be played, so the question is whether they split or he gets to choose his target. I think Cirie will be wary of an idol seeing as she was idoled out last time round, so might push for a split, but I also don’t think Troy will target Cirie. I think Troy will target either Andrea (his Kim stand-in) or Ozzy (who he perceives as controlling the tribe). But if they do split, I bet that split falls on Cirie. So I say that they will not split because Ozzy is a blithely arrogant a-hole who will assume that Troy does not have an idol, and Troy targets Ozzy because Ozzy is a blithely arrogant a-hole who assumed he didn’t have an idol and made that abundantly clear to Troy. Troy idols out Ozzy and expects the rest of the tribe to fall into place behind his leadership (they won’t).

Andy John Emma
Mark Matt
First or Second Boot
Aubry Ciera Ciera Ciera Ciera Ciera
Third Out JT Debbie Cirie JT Cirie JT
Mana 4th/5th Boot Hali Hali Debbie Debbie Debbie question-mark
Nuku 4th/5th Boot JT Sandra Sandra  Sandra Varner question-mark
Tavua 4th/5th Boot Andrea Andrea Andrea Ozzy  Ozzy  question-mark
Score 0-red
Preseason Winner Pick Malcolm Tony
Andrea Malcolm

Time to make your picks. And feel free to track how your personal picks do throughout the year. I won’t make mention of it or anything, but you can still feel good about it.

If Mana goes to tribal council, the following player will go home:

  • Hali (47% Votes)
  • Debbie (28% Votes)
  • Tai (19% Votes)
  • Brad Culpepper (4% Votes)
  • Sierra Dawn Thomas (2% Votes)

Total Voters: 108

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If Nuku goes to tribal council, the following player will go home:

  • JT (37% Votes)
  • Sandra (28% Votes)
  • Aubry (16% Votes)
  • Malcolm (13% Votes)
  • Jeff Varner (5% Votes)
  • Michaela (1% Votes)

Total Voters: 105

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If Tavua goes to tribal council, the following player will go home:

  • Andrea (54% Votes)
  • Ozzy (15% Votes)
  • Troy (15% Votes)
  • Cirie (7% Votes)
  • Zeke (7% Votes)
  • Sarah (3% Votes)

Total Voters: 103

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