Survivor Millennials vs Gen X Week 6 Predictions and Polls

We got through the swap with a fairly predictable (i.e., three of you got it right) boot. Now we get three shots at being right. Participation trophies for everyone!

pr_predictionsbnr_s33-2

Andy: I think there’s a good argument to be made that Taylor is getting a Drewchebag-esque downfall edit. But I’ve been picking Figgy to go since the second episode, so I’d feel stupid if I get that wrong now by moving off of her. Rather be wrong the other way.

If they don’t lose, I’d say Vanua is the next likely to do so, since they have David and the other tribes don’t. And while I think she’s got the potential to be an elite-level social player, I don’t think Michelle has any outs here. If given six days, maybe. But if it’s just these three, she’s the screwed-by-the-swap player of the season.

Finally, I don’t think Ikabula will finish third in a competition, particularly since they should be able to sit their two worst competitors for the immunity challenge. But if they do, Bret or Sunday are screwed. I think the Millennials take out a threat rather than trying to keep the tribe strong, because they’re strong enough as it is. So they go for Bret (who isn’t a threat, per se, but is more likely to aid someone who is, like Chris).

John: The green tribe won’t lose, because they are the Survivor equivalent of the NBA’s juggernaut Warriors. But if they do lose, the way the Warriors blew a 3-1 lead in the NBA Finals, Hannah will go home. A loss by Glorious Man-Unicorn Ken’s tribe would give Adam, Ken, and Jessica their choice of Taylor or Figgy to eliminate. Figgy is the easy choice, but I’ll roll the dice and say they boot Taylor. If David’s loser tribe loses again, David ends up playing his idol for himself needlessly and the vote goes 3-1 against Michelle. This ultra-specific prediction is almost guaranteed to be wrong.

Matt: John already heard my predictions so if he deviates you know it is because he is worried we have caught on to his plagiarism. If Vanua (orange) goes to tribal then I think Michelle will go home. I think she is the person left with the weakest allies on that tribe and the alternate target is David who has an idol and would play it. If Takali (purple) goes to tribal then it will be one of Taylor or Figgy, and while I think there is a legitimate chance it is Taylor, I will take the safer route and say it is Figgy. Finally I do not think Ikabula (green) will lose someone in a tribal council but I could see a medevac coming especially since we have a blindfold challenge. If that happens I think Hannah gets medevaced.

Mark: Takali: With the knowledge of the Legacy Advantage passed on, Ken has no reason to keep Jessica, but every reason to keep challenge strength on their side. Look for him to convince Adam that the weak link has to go so he can become the Gen X God we always knew he was.

Ikabula: Doubt the largest tribe is going anywhere, but I’ve been very, very wrong all season. Let’s say Hannah doesn’t die during her medical scare teased in the preview, but instead asks everyone to talk about it for the next 24 hours. The tribe gets fed up, Michaela’s eyes roll back 50 times, and Hannah is let go for sanity’s sake.

Vanua: Neither Chris nor David would willingly sacrifice their Gen X numbers, and Chris has strong ties to Zeke. I’m going to guess Michelle gets the Obvious Loser edit and drew the swap screwed spot this season. So much for being the power player.

Emma: Orange: It’s hard to see where Michelle doesn’t go home if this team loses again. Chris and Zeke having a partnership seems to make them safe, and Zeke doesn’t really care about Michelle. If they do target David, he has an idol. Sure, he could go home with it in his pocket, but that doesn’t seem like the story the show is telling. Maybe David decides to target Chris or something with the idol, but he did go along with the Cece vote, so I don’t know about that.

Green: The four millennials don’t have beef with each other, so probably Sunday or Brett. Most likely Sunday. I’m not too worried about this one though because I don’t think they’re going to tribal any time soon.

Purple: I keep going back and forth between Figgy and Taylor. It has to be one of them, right? (Please let it be one of them). Conventional Survivor wisdom says that Figgy, being both the girl and also the one with a touch more strategic acumen, should be the target. However, while in the past I’ve said that Taylor is so dumb that anyone could mold him into whatever they need for their alliance, now I wonder if he’s so into Figgy that he would go “free agent” a la Ozzy (temporarily) after losing his beloved. The question is whether Adam/Ken/Jessica see that as a possibility. I feel like Hannah now, I just can’t decide. Then again, Figgy is half-Puerto Rican and judging by how this season has been going… Figgy it is. I’m going to be so annoyed if I’m wrong.


Andy John Matt
Mark Emma
Readers
First Boot Jessica CeCe CeCe Jessica Rachel
Sunday
Second
Boot
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Figgy Figgy
Third
Boot

Lucy Paul Paul Bret
Paul
Paul
Fourth
Boot

Lucy Lucy
Lucy
Lucy
CeCe Lucy
Fifth Boot
Figgy CeCe
CeCe
Jessica
Taylor CeCe
Ikabula Sixth Out
Bret Hannah
Hannah
Hannah
Sunday
question-mark
Takali Sixth
Out

Figgy Taylor
Figgy
Jessica
Figgy question-mark
Vanua Sixth
Out

Michelle
Michelle
Michelle
Michelle
Michelle question-mark
Score
Preseason
Winner
Pick
Taylor Adam
Ken
Taylor
Zeke Mari

Make your picks below and don’t be afraid to give your explanation in the comments. 

If someone from Ikabula (Green) leaves, who will it be?

  • Bret (40% Votes)
  • Sunday (40% Votes)
  • Hannah (12% Votes)
  • Jay (4% Votes)
  • Will (3% Votes)
  • Michaela (1% Votes)

Total Voters: 75

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If someone from Takali (Purple) leaves, who will it be?

  • Taylor (47% Votes)
  • Figgy (45% Votes)
  • Jessica (5% Votes)
  • Adam (2% Votes)
  • Ken (2% Votes)

Total Voters: 73

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If someone from Vanua (Orange) leaves, who will it be?

  • Michelle (79% Votes)
  • David (11% Votes)
  • Chris (6% Votes)
  • Zeke (4% Votes)

Total Voters: 72

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Andy
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Andy

Co-host of the Purple Rock Survivor Podcast and the Canadian of the group, Andy has been watching Survivor continuously since the very beginning and likes to treat that as some kind of virtue to lord over others.

Favourite seasons: Heroes vs Villains, Cook Islands, Palau, The Amazon, Cagayan
Favourite players: Boston Rob, Kim Spradlin, Tony Vlachos, Cirie Fields, Yul Kwon, Rob Cesternino
Andy
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  • Black Dynamite

    I went with Bret, Taylor and Michelle for my picks.

    Taylor for the same reasons I do every week. He and Figgy will be insufferable but he won’t understand why the other tribe mates won’t just let their love shine. He’ll eventually cross Beautiful Ken, who has no time for Taylor’s shit. Adam flips loudly with glee and Taylor is gone.

    I think Michelle is gone, not because of any screw up she may have made last week, but because I think the Chris/Zeke thing is real. I also think Chris genuinely likes and wants to work with David and would fight harder for him than Zeke would for Michelle.

    I went with Bret because he’s not Hannah. Hannah does something little every week that causes me to smile. Whether it’s her encouragement of tribe mates in challenges, her calling out Adam’s idol hunt or just her general optimistic, awkward demeanor. I like smiling and I like Hannah. Sorry, Bret.

    • I also think that we know Hannah more than we know Brett or Sunday or even Will. We know that she is Jewish and we also know her personality (enthusiastic, optimstic, and awkward). Can we say that about the other three…I don’t know about that.

  • Other Scott

    I feel like I predicted this a bunch of times in Cambodia, but I’m doing it again here: there will be two tribes going to tribal council and only the winning tribe will be immune.

    Even if they do a final 6 finale like they did in Cambodia, there still needs to be at least one double elimination, and this is the way that makes the most sense to me. Then they can fit in one medevac and still be okay to have a final 5 finale.

    • sharculese

      I don’t think that’s out of the realm of possibility, but I also wouldn’t be shocked if production is double elimination shy after Survivor: Staphylococcus. If we get double elimination I expect it to be a BvW style “two votes, one episode” scenario.

      • Other Scott

        Yeah but they’ll still have room for one medevac even if they do a double elimination. They proved in Cambodia that they can do a 6 person finale or 5 to give them that one person flexibility.

        Post-merge double elimination episodes suck and I think they know it.

  • Max_Jets

    I’m so worried for Michelle! I hope David is voted off with his idol in his pocket instead.

    • Kemper Boyd

      Just so those smug bastards on fantasy get their comeuppance.

      • It’s very frustrating that David alone is beating almost every other team in the draft-based leagues (at least if you don’t have David).

        • Kemper Boyd

          yes, exactly.

        • Alycia Swift

          I’m ok with it. There’s a good chance I’ll lose Figgy in the league this week. But I keep saying that too.

          • corndogshuffle

            For some reason I feel like we’re OK as far as Figgy goes, at least for the time being. I’m not sure why, It feels to me like Taylor is the one being set up to get bounced first of the two. I’m sure I’m wrong, but if I had to guess I’d say Taylor goes home first.

            As much as I want to win, I would prefer to keep people I like over people I don’t. So I won’t be too upset when Figgy gets gone, even if that happens next week.

          • Mike Hirsch

            Same. We in the Figgy Faction all apparently feel relatively okay with her impending doom.

          • Diego Armando

            I’m fine with my Pick 4. I can lose Figgy in the Champions League.

          • Alycia Swift

            Since they both suck, I’d prefer Figgy just for league purposes.

        • Hornacek

          I’m assuming that every person that has David on their team was very busy after the first episode aired and never had a chance to update their team members before the second episode aired.

          • the sky is falling

            Nah, I purposely chose him. But I always root for crazy, neurotic, barely competent, and or trainwreck characters. Shane, Phillip, Coach, Cochrane, Tony, Randy etc…

      • Diego Armando

        He gave us no reason to pick him in episode 1. The selfish jerk.

    • jersey_luck

      Don’t worry I also have faith that David can somehow screw up and be blindsided out of the game.

  • Sadie

    I feel like Orange will lose again because… Well… Duh.

    I don’t think David will play (or misplay) his idol. Michelle likely goes. Both Michelle and David went from a majority and swapped with someone they weren’t working with. But Chris clearly thinks David is willing to work with him at the merge, whereas Zeke doesn’t seem to feel that way about Michelle.

    So. Point David.

    I don’t see Orange beating anyone either.

    • My original prediction didn’t pick anyone from any other tribes. I wanted to just pick Michelle going home 3-1 and David incorrectly playing the idol.

      But I wouldn’t get any bonus points for being bold and not even guessing at other tribes, so I played it safe.

  • Mike Hirsch

    Over at Takali, I’m going with Taylor. I feel like Ken will view him as potential alpha-competition and want him gone. Also I don’t know if Ken can handle that much concentrated stupidity coming at him all the time. (Yes, phrasing.) Oh, and as a result of Adam flipping, the remaining Millenniums (R.I.P. CeCe) will target him immediately upon merging.

    Ikabula *shouldn’t* lose, but if the immunity challenge somehow involves David having to carry something like a ball of some sort and he haphazardly, spastically flings the ball into the oncoming path of the Ikabulas and they all wipe out and Hannah twists her ankle on Dave’s ball (not to be confused with Dave Ball), then I could see them losing. And I went with Sunday, because I figure they will still want Bret’s strength at this point in the game.

    Vanua, I guess there are cases to be made for it being Zeke, Chris, or David, but it’s most certainly Michelle.

    • Alycia Swift

      I like the term “concentrated stupidity”.

      If Taylor goes, I’m fine … but only for Fantasy League reasons. I’d prefer a double elimination of both.

      • Mike Hirsch

        Yeah, I have Figgy on my pick 4 team, but am over Figtails, and would much rather see them gone. Although I am at least mildly curious to see how either of them plays without the other.

  • Diego Armando

    I am in 100% agreement with Andy on this one for all of the tribes. I hope for fantasy reasons that Taylor goes instead of Figgy, but Figgy is toast. I think Taylor may be going into revenge mode after this.

    • andythesaint

      That could be an explanation for showing him to be more into the relationship than she.

  • Purple Rock Emma

    “Vanua: Neither Chris nor David would willingly sacrifice their Gen X numbers”
    Yo, Mark. I know the live blog is a lot of work, but you did watch last week’s episode, right?

  • turgid_legume

    Tough week for Michelle fans….