Survivor Cambodia Final Predictions and Polls

Time to put an end to my suffering and make our final predictions for Survivor Cambodia. How will the final six place? (Hint: in a different way than I predict). What’s interesting is that my complete failure in predictions has overshadowed the fact that we’ve all sucked. Mathematically, I could still win this thing.

pr_predictionsbnr_480

Staff Predictions: Survivor Cambodia Final

Andy

Sixth Place
Keith narrowly loses immunity and is voted out by people thinking that they might need to win the final four immunity.

Fifth Place
It’s the last time idols can be played, and they both are. And what do you know? All the votes were for Kelley and Jeremy! What happens? Do they revote? Fire-making challenge?

woo-fight-for-it

I’m guessing it’s a revote with the previously immune remaining so. And I say Spencer is holding immunity, so the vote is between Tasha and Kimmi. With no time to think of alternate reasons, Tasha is voted out as the biggest threat.

Fourth Place
Kelley is in trouble, until she wins the final immunity challenge! But rather than target one of the guys, she recognizes that Kimmi poses a bigger jury threat to her. Jeremy is thinking along similar lines. Spencer is happy it’s not him. Kimmi is voted out and the three best players this season make up the final three, for the first time since they introduced the final three.

Third Place
Spencer doesn’t have Kelley or Jeremy’s support bases. With he and Jeremy splitting votes, that’s enough to cost him.

Second Place
Jeremy could’ve beaten anybody, except for this configuration. With Spencer pulling away a key vote or two, he doesn’t have enough to win.

Winner
Kelley Wentworth wins Survivor Cambodia! In addition to the votes of her base (Kass, Ciera, Abi), Kelley is able to pull swing votes from two of Keith, Kimmi, Kelly, Tasha, Joe based on her idol plays, final immunity win, and getting to make her winners case for two tribals in a row (since she was immune the last one). She wins 5-4-1.

kelley-wentworth-sneakysneaky

John

Sixth Place
Kimmi

Fifth Place
Keith

Fourth Place
Spencer

Third Place
Tasha is the final three goat.

tasha-eye-roll

Second Place
Wentworth

Winner
Jeremy Collins
(Sent from an airport)

Emma

Since last week’s randomized prediction worked so well, I decided to shuffle the remaining final six up until the result showed Kelley as the winner (because I’ve decided to go all in on that pick) and go from there. Turns out the result I got is something I could see happening.

Sixth Place
The moment we’ve dreamed of happens. Kimmi decides to go with Wentworth and Keith after Keith wins immunity and force a tie. Since Kimmi is still assumed to be with what I’m calling the Bayon Four even though Spencer was originally Ta Keo, she is able to let Kelley know that the others are voting for her. So Kelley decides it’s time to finally target Jeremy, and plays her idol. Which causes Jeremy to play his idol. All votes are cancelled. Having seen that someone already flipped, Spencer decides it’s finally time to take out ​Tasha​. Wentworth’s side voted that way as well and it’s enough to send her home.

Fifth Place
Stealing a bit of Andy’s thoughts on this one. We all agreed that ​Kimmi is actually playing a very good game, so why the small edit? Because she must have been the traditional jury threat that we only hear about, without actually seeing their full potential. With so many blindsides this season, her straightforward boot doesn’t come with a narrative that people find worthy.

Fourth Place
Jeremy​ still doesn’t win immunity, but everyone else finally figure out he would beat them in the finals. He is voted out unanimously.

Third Place
No one is voting for ​Keith​, come on.

keith-spits

Second Place
The young lad pulls a few votes, but ultimately hurt betrayed too many people to get a majority to write ​Spencer​ on their parchment.

First Place
Kelley Wentworth on the other hand, gets plenty of votes. Her only regret is making Drew Christy look smart.

Cambodia- Kelley wink and blow kiss

Mark

Sixth Place
Keith – With a split vote and idols cancelling out all the votes (my guess at the history making event in the preview), everyone goes for the obvious threat. Spencer or Jeremy are immune.

Fifth Place
Kimmi – Kelley shakes things up and wins immunity, but doesn’t have the numbers since Tasha is against the all-girls thing. Tasha becomes the villain who betrays their final four deal.

kimmi-no-pumkin-no

Fourth Place
Kelley – Tasha’s confessional about bringing the best to the end seals the deal, and the final threat falls.

Third Place
Tasha

Second Place
Spencer

Winner
Jeremy Collins – Before last night, I would have said Jeremy wins easily. Now I think it’s a close vote. But I still think Jeremy squeaks it out. Tasha is the villain no one likes.

jeremy-finds-idol

Matt

Sixth Place
Keith‘s run ends as he fails to win immunity and is perceived as the greater threat due to his old man strength (ie immunity prowess). This is the boring vote.

Fifth Place
SHIT GETS NUTS! Okay, so here is what happens: Spencer wins immunity, Jeremy, Spencer, Tasha and Kimmi throw their votes on Kelley, Kelley plays her idol and votes for Jeremy, but Jeremy sees Kelley play her idol and he realizes he could be vulnerable and he immediately plays his idol. All votes canceled, we are forced into a revote with Spencer, Jeremy and Kelley immune from the vote. Forced to choose between keeping Kimmi and Tasha, people start discussing Kimmi as a jury threat due to her social bonds and she is the victim of this unprecedented tribal.

Fourth Place
This is the toughest one for me to predict, I think there are two super viable outcomes and I cannot tell which one is more likely, but basically I think the choice is between Spencer and Kelley here. I think in the end that Jeremy thinks that Spencer cannot make a different case from himself and regards himself as having stronger bonds than Spencer, whereas Kelley is the one that can go to the jury and plead a case that is different. I think the second idol is also something that will scare Jeremy and Tasha and Spencer and they will worry that the jury will reward her. So Kelley will fall just short at 4.

Third Place
Easiest prediction of this final 6. Tasha is getting 3rd and she is getting 0 votes. Sorry Tasha.

Second Place
Spencer will get a lot of credit and will get votes from a number of different people. I think he gets 4 votes. (note if Kelley makes the final instead of Spencer, I expect the same vote 6-4-0)

Cambodia- Spencer gets his knee destroyed in the blindfold challenge

First Place
But Jeremy gets 6 votes and wins. He controls the game throughout, has strong social bonds and has the mic drop reveal of Val’s pregnancy. Very deserving winner.

savage-jeremy-five

Andy John Emma Mark Matt Readers
20th
S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_kelly_tKelly S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria S31_spencer_tSpencer  S31_spencer_tSpencer Vytas
19th
S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria   Terry Abi-Maria
Peih-Gee  1024px-Red_x.svg N/A
18th
S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  Kimmi Joe
Jeremy  Monica S31_andrew_t Savage
17th
Tasha S31_jeff_tVarner S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria  S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria 
16th
Kimmi Kimmi Monica Monica
S31_spencer_tSpencer  Monica
13th
Tasha Savage
Savage
Kass
Savage
Savage
12th
Fishbach
Fishbach
Ciera
Fishbach
Fishbach
Fishbach
11th
S31_kelley_t Kelley
Fishbach
Fishbach
Ciera
Ciera
Fishbach
10th Tasha
Tasha
Tasha
Kimmi
Ciera
Ciera
9th Joe
Keith
Joe
Joe
Joe
Joe
8th S31_spencer_tSpencer
Kimmi S31_spencer_tSpencer
Joe
Joe
Joe
7th Tasha
Keith S31_abimaria_tAbi-Maria
Keith
Kimmi
Keith
6th Keith
Kimmi Tasha
Keith
Keith
Keith
5th Tasha
Keith Kimmi
Kimmi
Kimmi
Kimmi
4th Kimmi
S31_spencer_tSpencer Jeremy 
S31_kelley_t Kelley
S31_kelley_t Kelley
S31_kelley_t Kelley
3rd S31_spencer_tSpencer
Tasha Keith
Tasha
Tasha
Tasha
2nd Jeremy 
S31_kelley_t Kelley S31_spencer_tSpencer
S31_spencer_tSpencer
S31_spencer_tSpencer
Jeremy 
Winner S31_kelley_t Kelley
Jeremy  S31_kelley_t Kelley
Jeremy 
Jeremy 
Jeremy 
Score 0-red 4-green
Preseason
Winner
Pick
S31_monica_tMonica  S31_jeff_tVarner S31_kelley_t Kelley S31_monica_tMonica   S31_jeff_tVarner  S31_kelley_t Kelley
Quarter-
Season
Winner
Pick 
S31_kelley_t Kelley Tasha S31_kelley_t Kelley
Jeremy  Jeremy  S31_kelley_t Kelley
Mid-
Season
Winner
Pick 
Jeremy  Tasha S31_kelley_t Kelley
Jeremy  Jeremy  Jeremy

Reader poll

Alright, let’s try and do six different polls with you guys and see if we get six different people. We probably won’t, which will give you guys an advantage.

Who will finish sixth on Survivor Cambodia?

  • Keith (72% Votes)
  • Kimmi (12% Votes)
  • Spencer (6% Votes)
  • Tasha (6% Votes)
  • Kelley (3% Votes)
  • Jeremy (1% Votes)

Total Voters: 78

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Who will finish fifth on Survivor Cambodia?

  • Kimmi (49% Votes)
  • Tasha (25% Votes)
  • Keith (12% Votes)
  • Kelley (8% Votes)
  • Spencer (4% Votes)
  • Jeremy (3% Votes)

Total Voters: 76

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Who will finish fourth on Survivor Cambodia?

  • Kelley (44% Votes)
  • Spencer (16% Votes)
  • Kimmi (13% Votes)
  • Jeremy (12% Votes)
  • Tasha (8% Votes)
  • Keith (7% Votes)

Total Voters: 75

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Who will finish third on Survivor Cambodia?

  • Tasha (56% Votes)
  • Spencer (19% Votes)
  • Kimmi (14% Votes)
  • Kelley (5% Votes)
  • Keith (4% Votes)
  • Jeremy (1% Votes)

Total Voters: 73

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Who will finish second on Survivor Cambodia?

  • Jeremy (36% Votes)
  • Spencer (33% Votes)
  • Kelley (15% Votes)
  • Kimmi (7% Votes)
  • Tasha (7% Votes)
  • Keith (3% Votes)

Total Voters: 73

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Who will win Survivor Cambodia?

  • Jeremy (45% Votes)
  • Kelley (27% Votes)
  • Spencer (26% Votes)
  • Tasha (1% Votes)
  • Keith (0% Votes)
  • Kimmi (0% Votes)

Total Voters: 77

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